- Blackhawks 4-10-1 · 9 pts · 15th West · 8th Central Division · L3
- Panthers 8-5-2 · 18 pts · 7th East · 5th Atlantic Division · L1
Game day
Puck dropWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CHI +205 FLA -250 | CHI +217 FLA -217 fair |
| Puck line | FLA -1.5 (+105) | FLA covers 44% |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 5.5 · over 43% |
Line: , ESPN. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.
5,000 simulated games
- Expected goals
- FLA 3.3, CHI 2.2
- 8 in 10 games
- CHI by 2 to FLA by 4
- Tied after 60 minutes
- 23%
Advantages Why Panthers can win
- Goal differential per game: Panthers 12th (+0.20), Blackhawks 32nd (-1.67) of 32.
- Shot margins: Panthers have controlled play better (shots for and against, adjusted for opponents), worth about 0.42 goals to them in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Panthers about 0.31 goals a game stronger over recent games.
- Team matchup: where Panthers can take advantage. Their shot volume (9th of 32) meets the Blackhawks shot suppression (29th), so look for them to pile up shots and make the goalie work all night. And their scoring (18th of 32) meets the Blackhawks goal prevention (31st): a chance to turn chances into goals against a team that gives them up.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Panthers. The closest: best skater against best skater, Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers: 4 G, 17 A in 15 games, 19 min a night) is about even with Connor Bedard (Blackhawks: 4 G, 6 A in 9 games, 21 min a night; filling in for Patrick Kane, out).
- Simulation: Panthers win 3,425 of 5,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: Panthers 68% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why Panthers may not
- Strength of schedule: Blackhawks 7th (+0.12), Panthers 31st (-0.18) of 32.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Panthers lose by 2 goals or more.
- Weak spot: Panthers rank 32nd of 32 in discipline (penalty minutes per game) (13.33).
- Discipline (penalty minutes per game): Blackhawks 16th (9.47), Panthers 32nd (13.33) of 32.
- Team matchup: Blackhawks have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot goalie, special teams and a few lucky bounces.
- Star matchup: In goal, Spencer Knight (Blackhawks: 0.894 save percentage in 12 starts) has the edge on Jacob Markstrom (Panthers: 0.890 in 7).
- Upset odds: Blackhawks win 1,575 of 5,000 simulations (31%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10. About 23% of the simulations went past regulation.
In goal
CHI Blackhawks
- ExpectedSpencer Knight0.894 save %, 12 starts, -4.1 goals saved above average
FLA Panthers
- ExpectedJacob Markstrom0.890 save %, 7 starts, -2.2 goals saved above average
"Confirmed" and "Expected" are ESPN's. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
CHI Blackhawks
- OutPatrick Kane RWout · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
FLA Panthers
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| CHI | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10-1 | Record | 8-5-2 |
| -1.67 32 | Goal differential/game | +0.20 12 |
| 2.20 31 | Goals per game | 3.13 18 |
| 3.87 31 | Goals allowed | 2.93 7 |
| 43.2% 31 | Shot share | 54.0% 7 |
| 23.0 31 | Shots per game | 28.7 9 |
| 30.3 29 | Shots allowed | 24.4 4 |
| 9.6% 28 | Shooting % | 10.9% 21 |
| 0.883 25 | Save % | 0.888 19 |
| 0.33 30 | Power-play goals/game | 1.07 5 |
| 9.5 16 | Penalty minutes/game | 13.3 32 |
| 47.2% 32 | Faceoffs won | 54.7% 24 |
| +0.12 7 | Strength of schedule | -0.18 31 |
Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- Panthers 3 @ Blackhawks 2Oct 25, 2026
- Panthers 5 @ Blackhawks 1Jan 25, 2026
- Blackhawks 2 @ Panthers 3Oct 7, 2025
- Blackhawks 1 @ Panthers 5Feb 1, 2025
- Panthers 1 @ Blackhawks 3Nov 21, 2024
Your pick
Locks at puck drop · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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