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WF

Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi

WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Centre Court, Chennai, India

MR
Our pick
WFWeronika Falkowska
61% to win
ModelFalkowska 61%Revathi 39%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 61% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

How it plays out

62%straight sets
38%goes to a third set
22.2games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

WF 2-040%
WF 2-121%
MR 2-117%
MR 2-022%

Fair game spread: Falkowska by about 3.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aFalkowska -158
Revathi +158 fair
Game spreadn/aFalkowska -3.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Weronika Falkowska can win

  1. Revathi has only 4 tour-level matches we can rate (often a qualifier or wildcard), so the rating is mostly a starting guess
  2. More matches on hard: 19 to Revathi's 4
  3. Higher rating for this match: 1535 to Revathi's 1475 (every tour result since 2010, weighted by who it came against, with hard counting extra)
  4. Simulation: Falkowska wins in straight sets 40% of the time

Disadvantages Why Weronika Falkowska may not

  1. Revathi · Fresher legs: 31 games played in the last three days to Falkowska's 54
  2. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  3. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  4. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  5. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  6. Upset odds: Revathi wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 60% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

WF FalkowskaMR Revathi
–Seed–
POLFromIND
1535Rating for this match1475
1496Rating, all surfaces1474
1575Rating, hard courts only1477
7-3Last 10 matches2-2
39Tour-level matches since 20104
19Matches on hard4
1 day agoLast matchtoday
3Matches in the last 2 weeks1

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

WF Weronika Falkowska

  • WLinda Fruhvirtova7-6(3) 6-4Chennai Open · R1
  • WViktoria Morvayova6-3 5-7 6-4Chennai Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WJensi Dipakbhai Kanabar6-2 5-7 6-3Chennai Open · Q1
  • LCaroline Werner6-3 2-6 7-6(3)Samsun Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WDoga Turkmen6-2 6-3Samsun Open · Q1

MR Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi

  • WKatarzyna Kawa6-4 2-6 7-6(5)Chennai Open · R1
  • LLanlana Tararudee6-3 6-2L&T Mumbai Open · R1
  • LShrivalli Bhamidipaty6-1 6-4Chennai Open · R1
  • WNicole Fossa Huergo6-3 3-6 6-0L&T Mumbai Open · Q1

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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