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Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme

WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Centre Court, Chennai, India

JV
Our pick
RMRobin Montgomery
66% to win
ModelMontgomery 66%Vandromme 34%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 66% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

How it plays out

63%straight sets
37%goes to a third set
22.0games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

RM 2-045%
RM 2-121%
JV 2-115%
JV 2-019%

Fair game spread: Montgomery by about 3.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aMontgomery -198
Vandromme +198 fair
Game spreadn/aMontgomery -3.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Robin Montgomery can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1667 to Vandromme's 1567
  2. Head to head: leads 1-0 in tour-level meetings since 2010
  3. More matches on hard: 69 to Vandromme's 15
  4. Vandromme retired from a match in the last month, which often means an injury
  5. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1533 to Vandromme's 1482
  6. Simulation: Montgomery wins in straight sets 45% of the time

Disadvantages Why Robin Montgomery may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Vandromme wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 55% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

RM MontgomeryJV Vandromme
–Seed–
USAFromBEL
1600Rating for this match1525
1667Rating, all surfaces1567
1533Rating, hard courts only1482
6-4Last 10 matches5-5
139Tour-level matches since 201027
69Matches on hard15
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
2Matches in the last 2 weeks2

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head: Montgomery 1-0 Vandromme

  • RMUS Open · Q27-5 6-3Aug 2026

Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.

Last 5 matches

RM Robin Montgomery

  • WPanna Udvardy6-4 1-6 6-1Chennai Open · R1
  • LLisa Pigato6-0 7-6(7)Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R1
  • LKatie Volynets7-5 7-5China Open · R1
  • WAnna-Lena Friedsam6-3 6-2China Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WAran Teixido Garcia6-1 6-3China Open · Q1

JV Jeline Vandromme

  • WKyoka Okamura7-5 6-1Chennai Open · R1
  • LCarol Young Suh Lee5-7 7-6(3) 6-3Guangzhou Open · Q1
  • LAlycia Parks4-6 4-4 ret.BNB Ningbo Open · Q1
  • LLisa Pigato6-3 7-5Caldas da Rainha Ladies Open · SF
  • WFrancisca Jorge6-3 6-7(7) 7-5Caldas da Rainha Ladies Open · QF

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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