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Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova (6)

WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Court 1, Chennai, India

PK
Our pick
PKPolina Kudermetova
63% to win
ModelSelekhmeteva 37%Kudermetova 63%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

How it plays out

63%straight sets
37%goes to a third set
22.2games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

OS 2-021%
OS 2-116%
PK 2-121%
PK 2-042%

Fair game spread: Kudermetova by about 3.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aSelekhmeteva +169
Kudermetova -169 fair
Game spreadn/aSelekhmeteva +3.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Polina Kudermetova can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1668 to Selekhmeteva's 1546
  2. Head to head: leads 1-0 in tour-level meetings since 2010
  3. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1618 to Selekhmeteva's 1566
  4. More matches on hard: 101 to Selekhmeteva's 73
  5. Seeded 6; Selekhmeteva is unseeded
  6. Simulation: Kudermetova wins in straight sets 42% of the time

Disadvantages Why Polina Kudermetova may not

  1. Selekhmeteva · Kudermetova retired from a match in the last month, which often means an injury
  2. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  3. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  4. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  5. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  6. Upset odds: Selekhmeteva wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 58% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

OS SelekhmetevaPK Kudermetova
–Seed6
ESPFromUZB
1556Rating for this match1643
1546Rating, all surfaces1668
1566Rating, hard courts only1618
6-4Last 10 matches6-4
163Tour-level matches since 2010178
73Matches on hard101
1 day agoLast matchtoday
3Matches in the last 2 weeks3

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head: Selekhmeteva 0-1 Kudermetova

  • PKGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · QF6-3 7-6(3)Apr 2026

Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.

Last 5 matches

OS Oksana Selekhmeteva

  • WTeodora Kostovic6-4 6-3Chennai Open · R1
  • LElizara Yaneva6-3 3-6 6-3Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R2
  • WAdrienn Nagy6-4 6-2Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R1
  • LLea Boskovic6-2 7-6(2)RoveretOpen Città della Pace · R1
  • LFiona Crawley4-6 6-4 6-4Samsun Open · R2

PK Polina Kudermetova

  • WViktoria Morvayova6-3 4-6 6-1Chennai Open · R1
  • LJanice Tjen6-2 6-2Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LElena Rybakina5-0 ret.BNB Ningbo Open · R2
  • WCristina Bucsa7-6(5) 6-2BNB Ningbo Open · R1
  • WAnastasia Zakharova6-3 6-3BNB Ningbo Open · QF (qualifying)

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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