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Anastasia Zakharova (7) vs Vaishnavi Adkar

WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Chennai, India

VA
Our pick
AZAnastasia Zakharova
87% to win
ModelZakharova 87%Adkar 13%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 87% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

How it plays out

75%straight sets
25%goes to a third set
20.0games on average (14 to 29, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

AZ 2-069%
AZ 2-118%
VA 2-17%
VA 2-06%

Fair game spread: Zakharova by about 6.5 games; fair total 18.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aZakharova -655
Adkar +655 fair
Game spreadn/aZakharova -6.5 fair
Total gamesn/a18.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Anastasia Zakharova can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1604 to Adkar's 1342
  2. Adkar has only 6 tour-level matches we can rate (often a qualifier or wildcard), so the rating is mostly a starting guess
  3. More matches on hard: 132 to Adkar's 6
  4. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1582 to Adkar's 1348
  5. Fresher legs: 20 games played in the last three days to Adkar's 30
  6. Seeded 7; Adkar is unseeded
  7. Simulation: Zakharova wins in straight sets 69% of the time

Disadvantages Why Anastasia Zakharova may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Adkar wins about 1 time in 8, and takes at least a set 31% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

AZ ZakharovaVA Adkar
7Seed–
RUSFromIND
1593Rating for this match1345
1604Rating, all surfaces1342
1582Rating, hard courts only1348
4-6Last 10 matches2-4
192Tour-level matches since 20106
132Matches on hard6
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
5Matches in the last 2 weeks1

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

AZ Anastasia Zakharova

  • WPolina Iatcenko7-6(3) 6-1Chennai Open · R1
  • LMagda Linette7-6(6) 6-4Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LTeodora Kostovic6-3 6-2Guangzhou Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WZhang Ruien6-2 6-2Guangzhou Open · Q1
  • LMarie Bouzkova7-5 6-2BNB Ningbo Open · R2

VA Vaishnavi Adkar

  • WJodie Burrage3-6 6-3 7-5Chennai Open · R1
  • LLilli Tagger7-5 6-4L&T Mumbai Open · R1
  • LDonna Vekic6-1 6-2Chennai Open · R1
  • LAstrid Lew Yan Foon6-2 6-3Chennai Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WAmina Anshba7-5 6-2Chennai Open · Q1

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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