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Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette (3)

WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Chennai, India

ML
Our pick
MLMagda Linette
69% to win
ModelUchijima 31%Linette 69%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 69% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

How it plays out

64%straight sets
36%goes to a third set
21.9games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

MU 2-017%
MU 2-114%
ML 2-121%
ML 2-047%

Fair game spread: Linette by about 4.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aUchijima +218
Linette -218 fair
Game spreadn/aUchijima +4.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Magda Linette can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1680 to Uchijima's 1549
  2. Uchijima retired from a match in the last month, which often means an injury
  3. Head to head: leads 2-1 in tour-level meetings since 2010
  4. More matches on hard: 325 to Uchijima's 125
  5. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1607 to Uchijima's 1540
  6. Seeded 3; Uchijima is unseeded
  7. Simulation: Linette wins in straight sets 47% of the time

Disadvantages Why Magda Linette may not

  1. Uchijima · Fresher legs: 17 games played in the last three days to Linette's 33
  2. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  3. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  4. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  5. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  6. Upset odds: Uchijima wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 53% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

MU UchijimaML Linette
–Seed3
JPNFromPOL
1545Rating for this match1644
1549Rating, all surfaces1680
1540Rating, hard courts only1607
3-7Last 10 matches3-7
196Tour-level matches since 2010495
125Matches on hard325
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
3Matches in the last 2 weeks4

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head: Uchijima 1-2 Linette

  • MUAustralian Open · R14-6 6-2 7-6(8)Jan 2025
  • MLChina Open · R16-4 4-6 6-3Sep 2024
  • MLChennai Open · R16-4 6-0Sep 2022

Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.

Last 5 matches

MU Moyuka Uchijima

  • WRebecca Sramkova6-3 6-2Chennai Open · R1
  • LElise Mertens6-4 6-2Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · R1
  • LMary Stoiana6-2 2-6 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R2
  • WEna Shibahara6-4 6-7(7) 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R1
  • LMagdalena Frech6-4 4-1 ret.Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open · Q1

ML Magda Linette

  • WAliona Falei7-6(3) 5-7 6-2Chennai Open · R1
  • LLilli Tagger6-2 6-2Guangzhou Open · R2
  • WAnastasia Zakharova7-6(6) 6-4Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LKaterina Siniakova6-4 6-1Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R2
  • WClaire Liu6-4 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R1

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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