Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA · Chennai Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Chennai, India
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Hontama by about 3.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Hontama -163 Kulambayeva +163 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Hontama -3.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 20.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Mai Hontama can win
- More matches on hard: 126 to Kulambayeva's 15
- Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1504 to Kulambayeva's 1444
- Fresher legs: 21 games played in the last three days to Kulambayeva's 53
- Simulation: Hontama wins in straight sets 41% of the time
Disadvantages Why Mai Hontama may not
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Kulambayeva wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 59% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| MH Hontama | ZK Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| – | Seed | – |
| JPN | From | KAZ |
| 1477 | Rating for this match | 1457 |
| 1504 | Rating, all surfaces | 1444 |
| 1450 | Rating, hard courts only | 1471 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 matches | 5-5 |
| 172 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 33 |
| 126 | Matches on hard | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Last match | 1 day ago |
| 3 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 3 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.
Head to head
No tour-level meeting since 2010.
Last 5 matches
MH Mai Hontama
- WMananchaya Sawangkaew7-6(3) 6-2Chennai Open · R1
- LMaya Joint7-5 6-3Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · QF (qualifying)
- WOleksandra Oliynykova6-3 6-1Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · Q1
- LViktorija Golubic6-3 6-1Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R1
- LEmerson Jones6-4 6-0Suzhou Open · R1
ZK Zhibek Kulambayeva
- WMei Yamaguchi6-4 7-5Chennai Open · R1
- WMei Yamaguchi3-6 6-3 7-6(4)Chennai Open · QF (qualifying)
- WYelyzaveta Kotliar6-2 6-3Chennai Open · Q1
- LFrancisca Jorge4-6 6-2 6-3Lisboa Belem Open · R1
- LMalaika Rapolu6-3 6-2Caldas da Rainha Ladies Open · Q1
Player news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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