Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala (2)
WTA · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Eala by about 2.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Valentova +146 Eala -146 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Valentova +2.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 20.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Alexandra Eala can win
- Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1856 to Valentova's 1745
- More matches on hard: 117 to Valentova's 52
- Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1778 to Valentova's 1715
- Seeded 2; Valentova is unseeded
- Simulation: Eala wins in straight sets 38% of the time
Disadvantages Why Alexandra Eala may not
- Valentova · Head to head: leads 2-0 in tour-level meetings since 2010
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Valentova wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 62% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| TV Valentova | AE Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| – | Seed | 2 |
| CZE | From | PHI |
| 1730 | Rating for this match | 1817 |
| 1745 | Rating, all surfaces | 1856 |
| 1715 | Rating, hard courts only | 1778 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 matches | 5-5 |
| 88 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 179 |
| 52 | Matches on hard | 117 |
| 1 day ago | Last match | 1 day ago |
| 4 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 5 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.
Head to head: Valentova 2-0 Eala
- TVQatar Total Energies Open · R17-6(6) 6-1Feb 2026
- TVKinoshita Group Japan Open · R16-1 6-2Oct 2025
Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.
Last 5 matches
TV Tereza Valentova
- WHimeno Sakatsume6-3 7-5Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
- LMia Pohankova6-1 6-4Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · R1
- WZhang Shuai7-5 6-2Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · QF (qualifying)
- WEn-Shuo Liang6-2 3-6 6-2Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · Q1
- LLilli Tagger7-5 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R2
AE Alexandra Eala
- WEmerson Jones6-4 6-3Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
- LDiana Shnaider2-6 7-6(5) 6-4Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · QF
- WTalia Gibson4-6 6-2 6-0Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · R2
- WMika Stojsavljevic6-1 6-2Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · R1
- LDiana Shnaider7-5 6-4BNB Ningbo Open · R2
Player news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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