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Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze

WTA · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

AS
Our pick
ASAlexandra Shubladze
59% to win
ModelPridankina 41%Shubladze 59%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

How it plays out

62%straight sets
38%goes to a third set
22.3games on average (16 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

EP 2-024%
EP 2-117%
AS 2-121%
AS 2-038%

Fair game spread: Shubladze by about 2.5 games; fair total 21.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aPridankina +144
Shubladze -144 fair
Game spreadn/aPridankina +2.5 fair
Total gamesn/a21.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Alexandra Shubladze can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1669 to Pridankina's 1553
  2. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1647 to Pridankina's 1496
  3. Simulation: Shubladze wins in straight sets 38% of the time

Disadvantages Why Alexandra Shubladze may not

  1. Pridankina · More matches on hard: 43 to Shubladze's 15
  2. Pridankina · Fresher legs: 12 games played in the last three days to Shubladze's 27
  3. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  4. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  5. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  6. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  7. Upset odds: Pridankina wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 62% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

EP PridankinaAS Shubladze
–Seed–
RUSFromRUS
1525Rating for this match1658
1553Rating, all surfaces1669
1496Rating, hard courts only1647
5-5Last 10 matches8-2
91Tour-level matches since 201016
43Matches on hard15
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
5Matches in the last 2 weeks4

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

EP Elena Pridankina

  • WPaula Badosa7-5 ret.Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
  • LHimeno Sakatsume5-7 6-2 6-2Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WEkaterine Gorgodze6-1 4-6 6-1Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · Q1
  • LCarol Young Suh Lee6-4 6-2Guangzhou Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WTyra Caterina Grant6-3 6-3Guangzhou Open · Q1

AS Alexandra Shubladze

  • WLiudmila Samsonova5-7 6-1 6-2Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
  • WEmerson Jones6-4 6-2Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · QF (qualifying)
  • WZhang Ying6-4 6-3Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · Q1
  • LPolina Iatcenko6-3 2-6 6-4Guangzhou Open · Q1
  • WJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-3 6-2Jingshan Tennis Open · F

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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