Justina Mikulskyte (5) vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
WTA · Angola Ladies Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Luanda, Angola
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Mikulskyte by about 0.5 games; fair total 21.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Mikulskyte -104 Lemaitre +104 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Mikulskyte -0.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 21.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Justina Mikulskyte can win
- Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1377 to Lemaitre's 1346
- More matches on hard: 15 to Lemaitre's 9
- Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1316 to Lemaitre's 1293
- Seeded 5; Lemaitre is unseeded
- Simulation: Mikulskyte wins in straight sets 31% of the time
Disadvantages Why Justina Mikulskyte may not
- Lemaitre · Fresher legs: 14 games played in the last three days to Mikulskyte's 24
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Lemaitre wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 69% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| JM Mikulskyte | TL Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seed | – |
| LTU | From | FRA |
| 1346 | Rating for this match | 1320 |
| 1377 | Rating, all surfaces | 1346 |
| 1316 | Rating, hard courts only | 1293 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 matches | 3-7 |
| 35 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 21 |
| 15 | Matches on hard | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Last match | 1 day ago |
| 1 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 1 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.
Head to head
No tour-level meeting since 2010.
Last 5 matches
JM Justina Mikulskyte
- WMaayan Laron7-5 7-5Angola Ladies Open · R1
- LPaula Badosa6-3 6-2SP Open · R1
- LChloe Paquet6-3 6-4SP Open · QF (qualifying)
- WAntonia Vergara Rivera6-2 6-3SP Open · Q1
- LGabriela Knutson6-2 6-4Warsaw T-Mobile Polish Open · QF
TL Tiphanie Lemaitre
- WLamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz6-1 6-1Angola Ladies Open · R1
- LHarriet Dart6-2 6-3China Open · Q1
- LChloe Paquet6-1 6-0Open Capfinances Rouen Métropole · Q1
- LMaria Lourdes Carle7-6(3) 2-0 ret.Mérida Open Akron · Q1
- LMona Barthel4-6 6-0 6-0Open Arena Les Sables d'Olonne · R1
Player news
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Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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