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Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka (3)

WTA · Angola Ladies Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Lwena Court, Luanda, Angola

MK
Our pick
MKMartyna Kubka
78% to win
ModelSziedat 22%Kubka 78%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

How it plays out

69%straight sets
31%goes to a third set
21.1games on average (15 to 30, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

FS 2-011%
FS 2-111%
MK 2-121%
MK 2-057%

Fair game spread: Kubka by about 5.5 games; fair total 19.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aSziedat +353
Kubka -353 fair
Game spreadn/aSziedat +5.5 fair
Total gamesn/a19.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Martyna Kubka can win

  1. Sziedat has only 3 tour-level matches we can rate (often a qualifier or wildcard), so the rating is mostly a starting guess
  2. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1562 to Sziedat's 1443
  3. More matches on hard: 19 to Sziedat's 3
  4. Fresher legs: 16 games played in the last three days to Sziedat's 43
  5. Seeded 3; Sziedat is unseeded
  6. Simulation: Kubka wins in straight sets 57% of the time

Disadvantages Why Martyna Kubka may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Sziedat wins about 1 time in 5, and takes at least a set 43% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

FS SziedatMK Kubka
–Seed3
GERFromPOL
1433Rating for this match1568
1443Rating, all surfaces1562
1423Rating, hard courts only1574
2-1Last 10 matches7-3
3Tour-level matches since 201031
3Matches on hard19
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
2Matches in the last 2 weeks4

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

FS Franziska Sziedat

  • WSada Nahimana3-6 6-4 6-2Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • WMadhurima Sawant6-2 6-2Angola Ladies Open · QF (qualifying)
  • LViktoria Morvayova6-2 6-1Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open · Q1

MK Martyna Kubka

  • WDarja Suvirdjonkova6-3 6-1Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • LAnna Blinkova6-3 6-2Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · QF
  • WLisa Pigato6-2 6-1Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R2
  • WMia Ristic6-3 7-6(4)Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R1
  • LDominika Salkova1-6 7-5 6-3RoveretOpen Città della Pace · SF

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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