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Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj (6)

WTA · Angola Ladies Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Lwena Court, Luanda, Angola

YK
Our pick
YKYasmine Kabbaj
65% to win
ModelMartynov 35%Kabbaj 65%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

How it plays out

63%straight sets
37%goes to a third set
22.1games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

DM 2-020%
DM 2-116%
YK 2-121%
YK 2-043%

Fair game spread: Kabbaj by about 3.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aMartynov +184
Kabbaj -184 fair
Game spreadn/aMartynov +3.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Yasmine Kabbaj can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1469 to Martynov's 1326
  2. Seeded 6; Martynov is unseeded
  3. Simulation: Kabbaj wins in straight sets 43% of the time

Disadvantages Why Yasmine Kabbaj may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Martynov wins about 1 time in 3, and takes at least a set 57% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

DM MartynovYK Kabbaj
–Seed6
FRAFromLAO
1369Rating for this match1443
1326Rating, all surfaces1469
1412Rating, hard courts only1417
4-6Last 10 matches5-5
24Tour-level matches since 201035
8Matches on hard9
2 days agoLast match2 days ago
1Matches in the last 2 weeks3

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

DM Diana Martynov

  • WSandra Samir7-5 6-2Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • LDeborah Chiesa6-3 6-3Montreux Nestlé Open · Q1
  • LElena Pridankina6-2 6-4MSC Hamburg Ladies Open · Q1
  • LJeline Vandromme6-3 6-3Grand Est Open 88 · R1
  • WAstrid Lew Yan Foon6-3 4-6 7-5Grand Est Open 88 · QF (qualifying)

YK Yasmine Kabbaj

  • WJahnie Van Zyl7-5 6-2Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • LJulia Riera6-2 6-4Curitiba Open · R2
  • WRebeca Pereira6-1 6-2Curitiba Open · R1
  • LAndrea Lazaro Garcia7-6(7) 6-0Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Women's Championships · R1
  • LAlicia Herrero Linana6-0 6-3BBVA Open Internacional De Valencia · SF

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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