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Anna Blinkova (1) vs Li Zongyu

WTA · Angola Ladies Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Luanda, Angola

LZ
Our pick
ABAnna Blinkova
86% to win
ModelBlinkova 86%Zongyu 14%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 86% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

How it plays out

74%straight sets
26%goes to a third set
20.1games on average (14 to 29, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

AB 2-068%
AB 2-118%
LZ 2-17%
LZ 2-07%

Fair game spread: Blinkova by about 6.5 games; fair total 18.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aBlinkova -614
Zongyu +614 fair
Game spreadn/aBlinkova -6.5 fair
Total gamesn/a18.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Anna Blinkova can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1665 to Zongyu's 1329
  2. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1633 to Zongyu's 1314
  3. More matches on hard: 249 to Zongyu's 17
  4. Zongyu retired from a match in the last month, which often means an injury
  5. Seeded 1; Zongyu is unseeded
  6. Simulation: Blinkova wins in straight sets 68% of the time

Disadvantages Why Anna Blinkova may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Zongyu wins about 1 time in 7, and takes at least a set 32% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

AB BlinkovaLZ Zongyu
1Seed–
FRAFromCHN
1649Rating for this match1321
1665Rating, all surfaces1329
1633Rating, hard courts only1314
7-3Last 10 matches5-5
393Tour-level matches since 201017
249Matches on hard17
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
5Matches in the last 2 weeks2

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

AB Anna Blinkova

  • WFarah Heddar6-2 6-1Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • LNoma Noha Akugue6-4 6-3Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · SF
  • WMartyna Kubka6-3 6-2Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · QF
  • WKatarina Zavatska6-3 4-6 6-3Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R2
  • WDalma Galfi6-3 6-2Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R1

LZ Li Zongyu

  • WAna Sofia Sanchez6-2 6-4Angola Ladies Open · R1
  • LGaia Maduzzi7-5 6-3Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · QF (qualifying)
  • LErika Andreeva7-5 0-1 ret.RoveretOpen Città della Pace · QF (qualifying)
  • WIsabella Maria Serban6-2 6-1RoveretOpen Città della Pace · Q1
  • LLu Jia-Jing6-1 5-7 7-5Suzhou Open · Q1

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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