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Laura Samson (5) vs Carole Monnet

WTA · Reto Win Tennis Cali Open
Round 2 · Clay · Best of 3 · · Campo 3, Cali, Colombia

CM
Our pick
LSLaura Samson
54% to win
ModelSamson 54%Monnet 46%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

How it plays out

68%straight sets
32%goes to a third set
21.8games on average (15 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

LS 2-037%
LS 2-117%
CM 2-116%
CM 2-031%

Fair game spread: Samson by about 1.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on clay, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aSamson -117
Monnet +117 fair
Game spreadn/aSamson -1.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Laura Samson can win

  1. Head to head: leads 2-0 in tour-level meetings since 2010
  2. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1555 to Monnet's 1505
  3. Fresher legs: 19 games played in the last three days to Monnet's 34
  4. Seeded 5; Monnet is unseeded
  5. Simulation: Samson wins in straight sets 37% of the time

Disadvantages Why Laura Samson may not

  1. Monnet · More matches on clay: 81 to Samson's 27
  2. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  3. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  4. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  5. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  6. Upset odds: Monnet wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 63% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

LS SamsonCM Monnet
5Seed–
CZEFromFRA
1508Rating for this match1487
1555Rating, all surfaces1505
1460Rating, clay courts only1469
6-4Last 10 matches5-5
51Tour-level matches since 2010162
27Matches on clay81
1 day agoLast matchtoday
2Matches in the last 2 weeks5

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the clay-court one, half and half.

Head to head: Samson 2-0 Monnet

  • LSIEB+ Argentina Open · R12-6 6-2 6-3Nov 2025
  • LSLP Open by IND · QF1-6 6-2 7-5Nov 2025

Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.

Last 5 matches

LS Laura Samson

  • WYuliana Lizarazo6-4 6-3Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
  • LAlice Tubello6-0 6-4Curitiba Open · R1
  • LAriana Geerlings6-2 6-2Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Women's Championships · F
  • WTamara Zidansek6-1 1-6 6-3Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Women's Championships · SF
  • WAndrea Lazaro Garcia6-0 ret.Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Women's Championships · QF

CM Carole Monnet

  • WMaria Herazo Gonzalez6-1 6-0Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
  • LBianca Andreescu6-3 7-5Queretaro Open · SF
  • WNadia Podoroska2-6 6-3 6-2Queretaro Open · QF
  • WCarmen Andreea Herea6-2 6-1Queretaro Open · R2
  • WLeolia Jeanjean6-4 6-1Queretaro Open · R1

Player news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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