Irene Burillo vs Luisina Giovannini
WTA · Reto Win Tennis Cali Open
Round 2 · Clay · Best of 3 · · Campo 5, Cali, Colombia
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Giovannini by about 0.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on clay, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Burillo +106 Giovannini -106 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Burillo +0.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 20.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Luisina Giovannini can win
- Simulation: Giovannini wins in straight sets 35% of the time
Disadvantages Why Luisina Giovannini may not
- Burillo · More matches on clay: 58 to Giovannini's 19
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Burillo wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 65% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| IB Burillo | LG Giovannini | |
|---|---|---|
| – | Seed | – |
| ESP | From | ARG |
| 1491 | Rating for this match | 1494 |
| 1465 | Rating, all surfaces | 1453 |
| 1516 | Rating, clay courts only | 1534 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 matches | 5-5 |
| 85 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 27 |
| 58 | Matches on clay | 19 |
| today | Last match | 1 day ago |
| 1 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 3 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the clay-court one, half and half.
Head to head
No tour-level meeting since 2010.
Last 5 matches
IB Irene Burillo
- WElvina Kalieva7-5 6-2Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
- LJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-3 3-6 7-5Lisboa Belem Open · R2
- WViktoria Morvayova6-0 6-3Lisboa Belem Open · R1
- LValeria Savinykh6-4 6-4China Open · Q1
- LAlicia Herrero Linana6-2 6-1BBVA Open Internacional De Valencia · QF
LG Luisina Giovannini
- WMaria Camila Torres Murcia6-3 6-0Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
- LNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva6-4 6-4Curitiba Open · R2
- WLucia Bronzetti7-6(6) 1-6 6-2Curitiba Open · R1
- LLucia Bronzetti5-0 ret.US Open · Q1
- LLucrezia Stefanini7-6(6) 7-6(5)Wimbledon · Q1
Player news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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