Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milošević
Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Main card · Meta APEX, Las Vegas
How it ends
| KO/TKO | Sub | Decision | Wins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC Cachoeira | 3% | 1% | 8% | 12% |
| NM Milošević | 36% | 17% | 35% | 88% |
When it ends (3 rounds)
From our method model (each fighter's finishing record and style, the opponent's durability, the division and the number of rounds), and the rounds come from the timing of every UFC finish since 2010 in this weight group and fight length.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cachoeira +380 Milošević -500 | Cachoeira +710 Milošević -710 fair |
| Total rounds | 1.5 (O -120 / U -110) over 51% | over 62% |
| Goes the distance | n/a | 43% |
Line: , DraftKings via ESPN. Odds move; check a book before acting. Total rounds: "over 1.5" wins if the fight passes 2:30 of round 2. Where the books post a total, the chance shown on the pick card's side is theirs (they price it better than our model).
Advantages Why Nina Milošević can win
- Gets hit less: absorbs 3.5 significant strikes a minute to Cachoeira's 6.6
- Age: 30 years old, Cachoeira is 38
- Stronger UFC résumé: a fight rating of 1459 to Cachoeira's 1379 (every UFC result, weighted by who it came against)
- Harder to hit: avoids 60% of significant strikes thrown at them, Cachoeira 49%
- Reach: 67 inches to Cachoeira's 65
- Wrestling: 1.2 takedowns per 15 minutes to Cachoeira's 0.8
- Power: 1.01 knockdowns per 15 minutes to Cachoeira's 0.37
Disadvantages Why Nina Milošević may not
- Cachoeira · Lands more: 4.4 significant strikes a minute to Milošević's 3.9
- One punch or one scramble can end any fight: the UFC favorite loses about one fight in three
- Late changes: a short-notice opponent, a missed weight or a bad weight cut can change a fight after our numbers were run
- Judges: close rounds can be scored either way, and about one UFC decision in five is split
- Small samples: a fighter's UFC numbers often come from a handful of fights
- Upset odds: Cachoeira wins about 1 time in 8, most often by decision (8% of all outcomes)
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Tale of the tape
| PC Cachoeira | NM Milošević | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9-0 | Pro record | 9-1-0 |
| 5-9 | UFC record | 1-0 |
| 4 KO · 0 Sub · 1 Dec | UFC wins | 1 KO · 0 Sub · 0 Dec |
| 38 | Age | 30 |
| 5'7" | Height | 5'5" |
| 65" | Reach | 67" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| Brazil | From | Serbia |
| 5 months ago | Last fight | 3 months ago |
| 1379 | Fight rating | 1459 |
| 4.4 | Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.9 |
| 6.6 | Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.5 |
| 45% | Striking accuracy | 47% |
| 49% | Striking defense | 60% |
| 0.8 | Takedowns / 15 min | 1.2 |
| 72% | Takedown defense | 74% |
| 0.1 | Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.4 |
| 0.37 | Knockdowns / 15 min | 1.01 |
Rates are from UFC fights only (ufcstats), recent fights counting more, and start from the UFC average so a fighter with one short fight isn't judged on 90 seconds. Fight rating: an Elo rating from every UFC result (1440 for a debut).
Last 5 UFC fights
PC Priscila Cachoeira
- LChelsea ChandlerSubmission · R1 3:42Jun 2026
- LKlaudia SygulaUnanimous decisionFeb 2026
- LJoselyne EdwardsKO/TKO · R1 2:24Aug 2025
- WJosiane NunesKO/TKO · R1 2:46Mar 2025
- LJasmine JasudaviciusSubmission · R3 4:21Jan 2024
NM Nina Milošević
- WHailey CowanKO/TKO · R1 3:41Aug 2026
Fighter news
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Your pick
Locks at the start of its part of the card · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every UFC fight since 1994 (strikes, takedowns, results and who they came against), blended with the betting market where the guard rail allows it. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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