- Atlanta Hawks 3-4 · 7th in the East · 2nd in the Southeast · L1
- Indiana Pacers 2-4 · 12th in the East · 3rd in the Central · L3
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 235.3
- Starting lineups
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ATL -7.1 |
| Total | n/a | 235.3 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ATL -248 IND +248 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
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Our number.
Advantages Why Hawks can win
- Injury report: the Pacers list T.J. McConnell (out), Tyrese Haliburton (out). That is about 6 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Back-to-back: the Pacers played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Hawks 14th (+1.0), Pacers 26th (-7.4).
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.6 points to the Hawks in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where the Hawks can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (12th of 30) meets the Pacers shooting defense (24th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (6th of 30) meets the Pacers ball security (12th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jalen Johnson (Hawks: 22.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 7.7 ast, Game Score 19.2) has the edge on Pascal Siakam (Pacers: 23.8 pts, 6.7 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 17.0; filling in for Tyrese Haliburton, out, left hamstring strain).
- Simulation: the Hawks win 7,120 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Hawks may not
- Home court: the Pacers play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Hawks lose by 9 or more.
- Weak spot: the Hawks rank 27th of 30 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
- Weak spot: the Hawks rank 20th of 30 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (24.3%).
- Team matchup: the Pacers have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean the Hawks on paper, but Pascal Siakam (23.8 pts, 6.7 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 17.0; filling in for Tyrese Haliburton, out, left hamstring strain) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: the Pacers win 2,880 of 10,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's playing?
ATL Hawks
- Jock Landale Available Injury/Illness - Nasal Fracture
- RayJ Dennis Out G League - Two - Way
- Zuby Ejiofor Out G League - On Assignment
- Keshon Gilbert Out G League - Two - Way
- Mouhamed Gueye Out Injury/Illness - Left Foot Fracture
- Henri Veesaar Out Injury/Illness - Right ACL Tear
- Jalen Wilson Out G League - Two - Way
IND Pacers
- Obi Toppin Questionable Injury/Illness - Low Back Soreness
- T.J. McConnell Out Injury/Illness - Right Hamstring Strain
- Tyrese Haliburton Out Injury/Illness - Left Hamstring Strain
- Aaron Nesmith Probable Injury/Illness - Left Hamstring Strain
- Ivica Zubac Out Injury/Illness - Left Ankle Sprain
- Ben Sheppard Out Injury/Illness - Left Meniscus Surgery
- Johnny Furphy Out Injury/Illness - Right ACL Repair / Surgery
From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read).
Also out or questionable
Hawks
- Nobody we track is listed out or questionable.
Pacers
- Questionable Aaron Nesmith G: day-to-day (ESPN team rosters, 2026-10-31)
From who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by side
| ATL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 2-4 |
| +1.0 14 | Net rating | -7.4 26 |
| 112.3 15 | Offensive rating | 108.5 27 |
| 111.3 12 | Defensive rating | 115.9 26 |
| 54.9% 12 | Effective FG% | 53.4% 23 |
| 54.7% 19 | Opponent eFG% | 55.5% 24 |
| 13.6 8 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.0 12 |
| 24.3% 20 | Offensive rebound % | 21.9% 29 |
| 36.4% 8 | 3-point % | 35.4% 20 |
| 104.3 5 | Pace | 103.9 9 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 2025-26 | ATL 124 @ IND 129 | IND |
| 2026-01-26 | 2025-26 | IND 116 @ ATL 132 | ATL |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-26 | ATL 128 @ IND 108 | ATL |
| 2025-03-08 | 2024-25 | IND 118 @ ATL 120 | ATL |
| 2025-03-06 | 2024-25 | IND 118 @ ATL 124 | ATL |
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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