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WAS

Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic

NBA 2026-27 ·

ORL
Standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 229.3

  1. Starting lineups
  2. Tip-off
Our pick
WASWashington Wizards
53% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWAS -1
Totaln/a229.3
Moneylinen/aWAS -113
ORL +113 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

10,000 simulated games

ORL 114, WAS 115Typical score
WAS by 18 to ORL by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

53%Wizards
47%Magic

Our number.

Advantages Why Wizards can win

  1. Injury report: the Magic list Paolo Banchero (out). That is about 9 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
  2. Back-to-back: the Magic played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
  3. Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Wizards -1.4, Magic -8.6.
  4. Three-point shooting: Wizards 19th (35.5%), Magic 27th (34.2%).
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors the Wizards. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (22nd of 30) meets the Magic ball security (10th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: At center, Alex Sarr (Wizards: 15.5 pts, 7.2 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 13.1) has the edge on Wendell Carter Jr. (Magic: 11.9 pts, 7.5 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 10.8); at guard, Trae Young (Wizards: 18.2 pts, 3.5 reb, 8.4 ast, Game Score 16.2) has the edge on Desmond Bane (Magic: 19.9 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 14.7).
  7. Simulation: the Wizards win 5,310 of 10,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Wizards may not

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Magic 17th (-0.1), Wizards 30th (-10.6).
  2. Home court: the Magic play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
  3. Point differential per game: Magic 17th (-0.1), Wizards 30th (-11.1).
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Magic 6th (75.1%), Wizards 30th (70.0%).
  5. Team matchup: where the Magic can push back. Their offensive rebounding (19th of 30) meets the Wizards defensive rebounding (30th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (13th of 30) meets the Wizards ball security (22nd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean the Wizards on paper, but Franz Wagner (20.0 pts, 5.4 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 15.1; filling in for Paolo Banchero, out, right low grade high ankle sprain) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: the Magic win 4,690 of 10,000 simulations (47%). A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's playing?

WAS Wizards

Nobody listed.

ORL Magic

  • Paolo Banchero Out Injury/Illness - Right Low Grade High Ankle Sprain
  • Jalen Suggs Out Injury/Illness - Right Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
  • Jonathan Isaac Out Injury/Illness - Left Knee Injury Management
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out Injury/Illness - Left Ankle Injury Recovery
  • Noah Penda Out Injury/Illness - Right Partially Torn Hamstring

From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read).

Also out or questionable

Wizards

  • Sat out Justin Champagnie: missed the last 2 games (box scores, 2026-10-30)

Magic

  • Nobody we track is listed out or questionable.

From who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by side

WASORL
3-3Record2-3
-10.6 30Net rating-0.1 17
108.1 29Offensive rating110.6 22
118.8 29Defensive rating110.7 9
53.4% 22Effective FG%52.5% 28
55.7% 25Opponent eFG%53.9% 9
15.0 22Turnovers per 10013.9 10
23.8% 22Offensive rebound %24.8% 19
35.5% 193-point %34.2% 27
104.3 7Pace103.0 12

Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2026-03-122025-26WAS 131 @ ORL 136ORL
2026-03-032025-26WAS 109 @ ORL 126ORL
2026-01-062025-26ORL 112 @ WAS 120WAS
2025-11-012025-26ORL 125 @ WAS 94ORL
2025-04-032024-25ORL 109 @ WAS 97ORL

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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