- Sacramento Kings 0-6 · 15th in the West · 5th in the Pacific · L6
- Dallas Mavericks 4-2 · 7th in the West · 4th in the Southwest · W3
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 234.1
- Starting lineups
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | DAL -13.7 |
| Total | n/a | 234.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | SAC +592 DAL -592 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Advantages Why Mavericks can win
- Injury report: the Kings list Maxime Raynaud (out), Dylan Cardwell (out). That is about 8 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.2 points to the Mavericks in our ratings.
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Mavericks +6.6, Kings -17.8.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.3 points to the Mavericks in our ratings.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors the Mavericks. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (25th of 30) meets the Kings shooting defense (29th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kyrie Irving (Mavericks: 21.4 pts, 3.4 reb, 4.8 ast, Game Score 17.2; filling in for Naji Marshall, missed the last 3 games) has the edge on Domantas Sabonis (Kings: 15.9 pts, 12.4 reb, 4.9 ast, Game Score 15.6).
- Simulation: the Mavericks win 8,560 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Mavericks may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Mavericks lose by 3 or more.
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Kings 15th (25.7%), Mavericks 26th (23.5%).
- Weak spot: the Mavericks rank 26th of 30 in offense, points per 100 possessions (108.7).
- Weak spot: the Mavericks rank 26th of 30 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (12.8).
- Team matchup: the Kings have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean the Mavericks on paper, but Domantas Sabonis (15.9 pts, 12.4 reb, 4.9 ast, Game Score 15.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: the Kings win 1,440 of 10,000 simulations (14%). A 86% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's playing?
SAC Kings
- Maxime Raynaud Out Injury/Illness - Right Patella Subluxation
- Dylan Cardwell Out Injury/Illness - Left Calf Strain
- Keegan Murray Out Injury/Illness - Left Ankle Capsulitis
- Sean Pedulla Out G League - Two - Way
- Ben Simmons Out Injury/Illness - Right Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery
DAL Mavericks
Nobody listed.
From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read).
Also out or questionable
Kings
- Nobody we track is listed out or questionable.
Mavericks
- Sat out Naji Marshall: missed the last 3 games (box scores, 2026-10-31)
From who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by side
| SAC | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-6 | Record | 4-2 |
| -10.4 29 | Net rating | -4.7 23 |
| 108.2 28 | Offensive rating | 108.7 26 |
| 118.6 28 | Defensive rating | 113.5 20 |
| 52.4% 29 | Effective FG% | 53.0% 25 |
| 57.4% 29 | Opponent eFG% | 54.4% 16 |
| 14.1 14 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.0 13 |
| 25.7% 15 | Offensive rebound % | 23.5% 26 |
| 33.8% 30 | 3-point % | 34.4% 25 |
| 102.5 15 | Pace | 105.0 4 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | 2025-26 | SAC 130 @ DAL 121 | SAC |
| 2026-01-06 | 2025-26 | DAL 100 @ SAC 98 | DAL |
| 2025-12-27 | 2025-26 | DAL 107 @ SAC 113 | SAC |
| 2025-04-16 | 2024-25 | DAL 120 @ SAC 106 | DAL |
| 2025-03-03 | 2024-25 | SAC 122 @ DAL 98 | SAC |
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat