- New Orleans Pelicans 2-4 · 11th in the West · 5th in the Southwest · W2
- Memphis Grizzlies 6-0 · 1st in the West · 1st in the Southwest · W6
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 235
- Starting lineups
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MEM -5.9 |
| Total | n/a | 235 |
| Moneyline | n/a | NOP +206 MEM -206 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Advantages Why Grizzlies can win
- Injury report: the Pelicans list Dejounte Murray (out), Yves Missi (out). That is about 6 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Grizzlies +14.2, Pelicans +2.8.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.4 points to the Grizzlies in our ratings.
- Home court: the Grizzlies play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Team matchup: where the Grizzlies can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (17th of 30) meets the Pelicans defensive rebounding (27th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors the Grizzlies. The closest: at center, Zach Edey (Grizzlies: 11.6 pts, 9.8 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 11.3) is about even with Derik Queen (Pelicans: 11.7 pts, 7.1 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 10.3).
- Simulation: the Grizzlies win 6,730 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Grizzlies may not
- Injury report: the Grizzlies list Ty Jerome (out). That is about 4 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Grizzlies lose by 11 or more.
- Weak spot: the Grizzlies rank 29th of 30 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (71.2%).
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Pelicans 5th (0.23), Grizzlies 19th (0.20).
- Team matchup: where the Pelicans can push back. Their offensive rebounding (9th of 30) meets the Grizzlies defensive rebounding (29th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Zion Williamson (Pelicans: 21.0 pts, 5.6 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 17.4; filling in for Dejounte Murray, out, personal reasons) has the edge on Cameron Boozer (Grizzlies: 17.3 pts, 10.5 reb, 5.7 ast, Game Score 14.2; filling in for Ty Jerome, out, upper back soreness); at guard, Saddiq Bey (Pelicans: 17.5 pts, 5.4 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 13.9) has the edge on Cam Spencer (Grizzlies: 10.9 pts, 2.6 reb, 5.5 ast, Game Score 10.8).
- Upset odds: the Pelicans win 3,270 of 10,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's playing?
NOP Pelicans
- Dejounte Murray Out Personal Reasons
- Yves Missi Out Injury/Illness - Left Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
- Jordan Poole Out Injury/Illness - Left Ankle Sprain
- Malik Dia Out G League - Two - Way
- Jaron Pierre Jr. Out G League - Two - Way
MEM Grizzlies
- Ty Jerome Out Injury/Illness - Upper Back Soreness
- Quinten Post Out Injury/Illness - Right Ankle Sprain
- Scotty Pippen Jr. Out Injury/Illness - Low Back Soreness
From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read).
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| NOP | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 6-0 |
| -3.9 21 | Net rating | -4.4 22 |
| 111.2 18 | Offensive rating | 110.3 23 |
| 115.2 23 | Defensive rating | 114.7 22 |
| 52.9% 26 | Effective FG% | 53.5% 20 |
| 55.4% 22 | Opponent eFG% | 55.7% 26 |
| 13.9 11 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.5 18 |
| 26.8% 9 | Offensive rebound % | 25.1% 17 |
| 34.5% 24 | 3-point % | 35.7% 16 |
| 104.1 8 | Pace | 104.3 6 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | 2025-26 | MEM 106 @ NOP 114 | NOP |
| 2026-01-23 | 2025-26 | NOP 133 @ MEM 127 | NOP |
| 2025-11-26 | 2025-26 | MEM 133 @ NOP 128 | MEM |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-26 | NOP 122 @ MEM 128 | MEM |
| 2025-03-09 | 2024-25 | MEM 107 @ NOP 104 | MEM |
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat