- Phoenix Suns 1-3 · 12th in the West · 3rd in the Pacific · L2
- Golden State Warriors 3-3 · 10th in the West · 2nd in the Pacific · W3
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 229.3
- Starting lineups
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | PHX -0.4 |
| Total | n/a | 229.3 |
| Moneyline | n/a | PHX -106 GSW +106 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
Your pick
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What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why Suns can win
- Injury report: the Warriors list Stephen Curry (out), Kristaps Porzingis (out). That is about 11 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Back-to-back: the Warriors played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Suns 19th (14.5), Warriors 27th (15.5).
- Strength: the Suns rank 4th of 30 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (16.1).
- Team matchup: where the Suns can take advantage. Their ball pressure (4th of 30) meets the Warriors ball security (27th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (7th of 30) meets the Warriors defensive rebounding (24th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: At center, Mark Williams (Suns: 11.5 pts, 7.9 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 12.0) has the edge on Al Horford (Warriors: 8.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 7.7); best player against best player, Devin Booker (Suns: 25.5 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.9 ast, Game Score 18.0) has the edge on Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors: 19.8 pts, 7.8 reb, 3.3 ast, Game Score 14.3; filling in for Stephen Curry, out, right knee injury management).
- Simulation: the Suns win 5,130 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Suns may not
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Warriors +6.0, Suns -12.5.
- Home court: the Warriors play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to the Warriors in our ratings.
- The Warriors' shooting (55.0% eFG%, 11th in the NBA) meets a Suns defense that ranks 17th.
- Team matchup: where the Warriors can push back. Their offensive rebounding (11th of 30) meets the Suns defensive rebounding (28th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (5th of 30) meets the Suns ball security (19th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean the Suns on paper, but Yaxel Lendeborg (19.8 pts, 7.8 reb, 3.3 ast, Game Score 14.3; filling in for Stephen Curry, out, right knee injury management) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: the Warriors win 4,870 of 10,000 simulations (49%). A 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's playing?
PHX Suns
Nobody listed.
GSW Warriors
- Stephen Curry Out Injury/Illness - Right Knee Injury Management
- Gui Santos Probable Injury/Illness - Left Knee Tendinitis
- Kristaps Porzingis Out Not With Team
- Draymond Green Out Injury/Illness - Bilateral Low Back Injury Management
- Jimmy Butler III Out Injury/Illness - Right ACL Repair / Surgery
- Moses Moody Out Injury/Illness - Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read).
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| PHX | GSW | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-3 |
| +0.1 16 | Net rating | -0.5 19 |
| 111.9 17 | Offensive rating | 112.2 16 |
| 111.7 13 | Defensive rating | 112.7 17 |
| 53.7% 19 | Effective FG% | 55.0% 11 |
| 54.4% 17 | Opponent eFG% | 55.5% 23 |
| 14.5 19 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.5 27 |
| 28.8% 7 | Offensive rebound % | 26.4% 11 |
| 36.0% 13 | 3-point % | 35.9% 14 |
| 100.3 25 | Pace | 102.2 17 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | 2026-27 | GSW 122 @ PHX 131 | PHX |
| 2026-04-17 | 2025-26 | GSW 96 @ PHX 111 | PHX |
| 2026-02-05 | 2025-26 | GSW 101 @ PHX 97 | GSW |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-26 | PHX 116 @ GSW 119 | GSW |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-26 | GSW 98 @ PHX 99 | PHX |
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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