Game day
Tip-offWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | DET -5.9 |
| Total | n/a | 220.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | PHI +211 DET -211 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
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Our number.
Advantages Why Pistons can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.9 points to the Pistons in our ratings.
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Pistons +11.2, 76ers +4.2.
- Home court: the Pistons play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.0 points to the Pistons in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where the Pistons can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (6th of 30) meets the 76ers defensive rebounding (28th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position favors the Pistons, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Cade Cunningham (24.6 pts, 5.5 reb, 9.3 ast, Game Score 19.6; filling in for Jalen Duren, out, right hamstring strain) leading the way.
- Simulation: the Pistons win 6,780 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Pistons may not
- Injury report: the Pistons list Jalen Duren (out). That is about 3 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): 76ers 2nd (12.5), Pistons 21st (15.0).
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Pistons lose by 11 or more.
- Weak spot: the Pistons rank 21st of 30 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (15.0).
- Team matchup: where the 76ers can push back. Their ball pressure (4th of 30) meets the Pistons ball security (21st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: At forward, LeBron James (76ers: 16.2 pts, 7.0 reb, 7.3 ast, Game Score 14.5) has the edge on Tobias Harris (Pistons: 14.1 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 11.4); best player against best player, Tyrese Maxey (76ers: 27.8 pts, 4.1 reb, 6.4 ast, Game Score 21.5) has the edge on Cade Cunningham (Pistons: 24.6 pts, 5.5 reb, 9.3 ast, Game Score 19.6; filling in for Jalen Duren, out, right hamstring strain).
- Upset odds: the 76ers win 3,220 of 10,000 simulations (32%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Injury report
PHI 76ers
- AvailableJoel EmbiidInjury/Illness - Right Foot Plantar Fascia Injury Management
- OutDominick BarlowInjury/Illness - Low Back Stress Reaction
- OutAriel HukportiInjury/Illness - Right Achilles Tendon Rupture / Tear
DET Pistons
- OutJalen DurenInjury/Illness - Right Hamstring Strain
- OutIsaiah JoeInjury/Illness - Right Hip Contusion
- AvailableIsaac JonesG League - Two - Way
- OutElijah HarklessG League - Two - Way
- OutUgonna OnyensoG League - Two - Way
Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-1 |
| +5.6 9 | Net rating | +7.4 6 |
| 108.0 28 | Offensive rating | 113.2 13 |
| 102.4 1 | Defensive rating | 105.9 4 |
| 51.8% 29 | Effective FG% | 54.2% 15 |
| 49.6% 1 | Opponent eFG% | 51.3% 4 |
| 12.5 2 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.0 21 |
| 21.2% 30 | Offensive rebound % | 30.5% 6 |
| 34.2% 25 | 3-point % | 35.8% 14 |
| 102.6 14 | Pace | 102.1 19 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- DET 106 @ PHI 93Oct 25, 2026
- DET 116 @ PHI 93Apr 4, 2026
- PHI 109 @ DET 131Mar 12, 2026
- PHI 105 @ DET 114Nov 14, 2025
- DET 111 @ PHI 108Nov 9, 2025
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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