Game day
Tip-offWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ATL -2 |
| Total | n/a | 229.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ATL -127 WAS +127 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
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Our number.
Advantages Why Hawks can win
- Injury report: the Wizards list Anthony Gill (out), Justin Champagnie (out). That is about 7 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Hawks 15th (+1.2), Wizards 29th (-10.4).
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.8 points to the Hawks in our ratings.
- Point differential per game: Hawks 15th (+1.2), Wizards 29th (-10.9).
- Team matchup: where the Hawks can take advantage. Their ball pressure (1st of 30) meets the Wizards ball security (22nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (10th of 30) meets the Wizards defensive rebounding (29th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position favors the Hawks, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Nickeil Alexander-Walker (20.4 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 14.7; filling in for Jalen Johnson, out, left ankle sprain) leading the way.
- Simulation: the Hawks win 5,590 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Hawks may not
- Injury report: the Hawks list Jalen Johnson (out). That is about 7 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Wizards +2.4, Hawks -7.4.
- Home court: the Wizards play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Hawks lose by 15 or more.
- Team matchup: the Wizards have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Anthony Davis (Wizards: 23.0 pts, 9.1 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 17.2; filling in for Alex Sarr, out, left knee soreness) has the edge on Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks: 20.4 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 14.7; filling in for Jalen Johnson, out, left ankle sprain).
- Upset odds: the Wizards win 4,410 of 10,000 simulations (44%). A 56% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Injury report
ATL Hawks
- OutJalen JohnsonInjury/Illness - Left Ankle Sprain
- OutKingston FlemingsLeague Suspension
- OutJock LandaleInjury/Illness - Left Hip Strain
- OutKeshon GilbertG League - Two - Way
- OutMouhamed GueyeInjury/Illness - Left Foot Fracture
- OutHenri VeesaarInjury/Illness - Right ACL Tear
- OutJalen WilsonG League - Two - Way
WAS Wizards
- OutAnthony GillInjury/Illness - Low Back Spasms
- OutJustin ChampagnieInjury/Illness - Right Foot Surgery
- OutJamir WatkinsInjury/Illness - Left ACL Repair / Surgery
- OutAlex SarrInjury/Illness - Left Knee Soreness
- OutTristan VukcevicInjury/Illness - Left Hip Impingement
- OutReece BeekmanInjury/Illness - Right AC Joint Injury
Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| ATL | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 4-3 |
| +1.2 15 | Net rating | -10.4 29 |
| 109.3 23 | Offensive rating | 108.1 27 |
| 108.1 7 | Defensive rating | 118.6 29 |
| 52.4% 27 | Effective FG% | 53.5% 20 |
| 54.3% 15 | Opponent eFG% | 55.7% 24 |
| 14.0 11 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.0 22 |
| 28.0% 10 | Offensive rebound % | 23.8% 22 |
| 34.6% 20 | 3-point % | 35.5% 17 |
| 105.4 4 | Pace | 104.2 8 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- WAS 96 @ ATL 126Feb 26, 2026
- WAS 98 @ ATL 119Feb 24, 2026
- ATL 131 @ WAS 116Dec 6, 2025
- ATL 113 @ WAS 132Nov 25, 2025
- ATL 125 @ WAS 111Feb 8, 2025
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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