21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
CHA

Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets

NBA ·

BKN

Game day

Tip-off

Starting lineups

Our pick
CHACharlotte Hornets
58% to win
ModelCHA 58%BKN 42%
MarketCHA 55%BKN 45%

Within 2 points of the market. Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadCHA -2.5Same
Total211.5Same
MoneylineCHA -135
BKN +114
CHA -136
BKN +136 fair

Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a book before acting.

10,000 simulated games

Typical score
BKN 105, CHA 107
8 in 10 games
CHA by 19 to BKN by 14
BKN covers +2.5
49%
Over 211.5
51%
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Line movement

Mango and market agree on Hornets: Mango 58% · Market 55%

Logged : Hornets by 2.5, total 211.5.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Hornets58%
42%Nets

Advantages Why Hornets can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.2 points to the Hornets in our ratings.
  2. History: the Hornets won 4 of the last 5 meetings (rosters change, so this says little).
  3. Strength: the Hornets rank 1st of 30 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (77.3%).
  4. Team matchup: where the Hornets can take advantage. Their ball pressure (18th of 30) meets the Nets ball security (26th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (2nd of 30) meets the Nets defensive rebounding (9th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  5. Star matchup: no key position favors the Hornets, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Brandon Miller (20.5 pts, 4.9 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 13.6; filling in for Kon Knueppel, out) leading the way.
  6. The betting market agrees: the Hornets 55% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
  7. Simulation: the Hornets win 5,770 of 10,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Hornets may not

  1. Home court: the Nets play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Hornets lose by 14 or more.
  3. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Nets 13th (0.22), Hornets 30th (0.16).
  4. Weak spot: the Hornets rank 30th of 30 in net rating (points per 100 possessions) (-11.4).
  5. Team matchup: where the Nets can push back. Their ball pressure (14th of 30) meets the Hornets ball security (30th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Michael Porter Jr. (Nets: 23.8 pts, 7.1 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 16.9; filling in for Nic Claxton, doubtful, not on the team's current roster) has the edge on Brandon Miller (Hornets: 20.5 pts, 4.9 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 13.6; filling in for Kon Knueppel, out).
  7. Upset odds: the Nets win 4,230 of 10,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Injury report

CHA Hornets

  • OutKon Knueppel Gout · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • QuestionableCoby White Gday-to-day · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026

BKN Nets

  • DoubtfulMalachi Smithnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 4, 2026
  • DoubtfulNic Claxtonnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 4, 2026

Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideStandings

CHABKN
3-5Record1-6
-11.4 30Net rating-9.9 27
98.8 30Offensive rating105.6 29
110.2 11Defensive rating115.5 25
48.0% 30Effective FG%51.9% 28
55.1% 21Opponent eFG%57.0% 28
20.0 30Turnovers per 10015.9 26
32.3% 2Offensive rebound %23.8% 23
29.6% 303-point %34.1% 27
98.5 29Pace100.2 26

Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2026-27 season).

Last 5 meetings

  • CHA 110 @ BKN 103Oct 21, 2026
  • CHA 117 @ BKN 86Mar 31, 2026
  • CHA 103 @ BKN 116Dec 1, 2025
  • BKN 117 @ CHA 136Oct 22, 2025
  • BKN 102 @ CHA 105Mar 8, 2025

Based on market line + adjustments. How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat