Game day
Tip-offWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | OKC -2.5 | Same |
| Total | 228.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | CLE +117 OKC -138 | CLE +134 OKC -134 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a book before acting.
10,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- OKC 116, CLE 113
- 8 in 10 games
- CLE by 14 to OKC by 19
- OKC covers -2.5
- 51%
- Over 228.5
- 51%
Line movement
Mango and market agree on Thunder: Mango 57% · Market 56%
Logged : Thunder by 2.5, total 228.5.
Your pick
Locks at kickoff · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Advantages Why Thunder can win
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Thunder 3rd (+9.6), Cavaliers 13th (+2.8).
- Home court: the Thunder play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- The Thunder' offense (115.3 points per 100 possessions, 7th in the NBA) meets a Cavaliers defense that ranks 16th.
- Team matchup: where the Thunder can take advantage. Their ball pressure (6th of 30) meets the Cavaliers ball security (13th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (8th of 30) meets the Cavaliers shooting defense (13th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder: 30.3 pts, 4.1 reb, 6.6 ast, Game Score 25.2; filling in for Chet Holmgren, out) has the edge on Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers: 27.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.2 ast, Game Score 19.7).
- The betting market agrees: the Thunder 56% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: the Thunder win 5,730 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Thunder may not
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Cavaliers +5.8, Thunder -4.4.
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Cavaliers 12th (27.0%), Thunder 26th (23.4%).
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Thunder lose by 14 or more.
- Weak spot: the Thunder rank 26th of 30 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (23.4%).
- Team matchup: the Cavaliers have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: At center, Evan Mobley (Cavaliers: 18.0 pts, 8.7 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 16.3) has the edge on Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder: 9.1 pts, 9.2 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 10.9).
- Upset odds: the Cavaliers win 4,270 of 10,000 simulations (43%). A 57% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Injury report
CLE Cavaliers
- OutJaylon Tyson Gout · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
OKC Thunder
- OutCason Wallace Gout · ESPN team rosters, Oct 31, 2026
- OutChet Holmgren Cout · ESPN team rosters, Oct 31, 2026
- OutJalen Williams Gout · ESPN team rosters, Oct 28, 2026
- Sat outAlex Carusomissed the last 3 games · box scores, Nov 3, 2026
Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| CLE | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 5-2 |
| +2.8 13 | Net rating | +9.6 3 |
| 114.6 9 | Offensive rating | 115.3 7 |
| 111.8 16 | Defensive rating | 105.7 3 |
| 55.6% 6 | Effective FG% | 55.4% 8 |
| 54.1% 13 | Opponent eFG% | 51.9% 6 |
| 14.1 13 | Turnovers per 100 | 12.4 1 |
| 27.0% 12 | Offensive rebound % | 23.4% 26 |
| 35.5% 16 | 3-point % | 36.2% 10 |
| 102.6 15 | Pace | 102.1 18 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
- OKC 117 @ CLE 112Nov 2, 2026
- CLE 113 @ OKC 121Feb 22, 2026
- OKC 136 @ CLE 104Jan 19, 2026
- CLE 114 @ OKC 134Jan 16, 2025
- OKC 122 @ CLE 129Jan 8, 2025
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat