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POR

Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns

NBA ·

PHX

Game day

Tip-off

Starting lineups

Our pick
PORPortland Trail Blazers
59% to win
ModelPOR 59%PHX 41%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetPOR -3.3
Totaln/a227.9
Moneylinen/aPOR -145
PHX +145 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. We add it as soon as one posts.

10,000 simulated games

Typical score
PHX 113, POR 116
8 in 10 games
POR by 20 to PHX by 14
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

What if?

Trail Blazers59%
41%Suns

Advantages Why Trail Blazers can win

  1. Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Trail Blazers +4.8, Suns -10.6.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.3 points to the Trail Blazers in our ratings.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.9 points to the Trail Blazers in our ratings.
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Trail Blazers 14th (0.21), Suns 25th (0.18).
  5. Team matchup: where the Trail Blazers can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (5th of 30) meets the Suns defensive rebounding (26th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (12th of 30) meets the Suns ball security (17th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition. Pace clash: the Trail Blazers play fast (10th of 30 in pace), the Suns slow (25th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors the Trail Blazers. The closest: best player against best player, Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers: 24.3 pts, 6.8 reb, 6.5 ast, Game Score 18.6; filling in for Ja Morant, out, left hamstring strain) is about even with Devin Booker (Suns: 25.5 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.9 ast, Game Score 18.0; filling in for Mark Williams, out, left shoulder surgery).
  7. Simulation: the Trail Blazers win 5,910 of 10,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Trail Blazers may not

  1. Home court: the Suns play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
  2. Three-point shooting: Suns 12th (36.0%), Trail Blazers 26th (34.2%).
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Suns 17th (14.5), Trail Blazers 28th (16.3).
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Trail Blazers lose by 14 or more.
  5. Team matchup: where the Suns can push back. Their ball pressure (8th of 30) meets the Trail Blazers ball security (28th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (9th of 30) meets the Trail Blazers defensive rebounding (19th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean the Trail Blazers on paper, but Devin Booker (25.5 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.9 ast, Game Score 18.0; filling in for Mark Williams, out, left shoulder surgery) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: the Suns win 4,090 of 10,000 simulations (41%). A 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Injury report

POR Trail Blazers

  • OutJa MorantInjury/Illness - Left Hamstring Strain
  • OutShaedon SharpeInjury/Illness - Right Meniscus Surgery
  • OutJayson KentG League - Two - Way
  • OutJohn TonjeG League - Two - Way

PHX Suns

  • OutMark WilliamsInjury/Illness - Left Shoulder Surgery
  • OutDrew TimmeG League - Two - Way

Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideStandings

PORPHX
5-1Record1-4
-0.2 18Net rating+0.1 17
111.0 17Offensive rating111.8 15
111.1 13Defensive rating111.7 14
53.2% 22Effective FG%53.7% 17
54.0% 12Opponent eFG%54.4% 17
16.3 28Turnovers per 10014.5 17
31.0% 5Offensive rebound %28.7% 9
34.2% 263-point %36.0% 12
103.6 10Pace100.3 25

Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).

Last 5 meetings

  • PHX 83 @ POR 124Oct 21, 2026
  • POR 114 @ PHX 110Apr 14, 2026
  • POR 92 @ PHX 77Feb 22, 2026
  • PHX 130 @ POR 125Feb 3, 2026
  • PHX 127 @ POR 110Nov 18, 2025

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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