- Gardner-Webb 0-1 · Big South 0-0, 4th · L1
- Texas AP #7 · 1-0 · SEC 0-0, 12th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TEX -30 |
| Total | n/a | 153.5 |
| Moneyline | n/a | GWEB +31150 TEX -31150 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TEX 90, GWEB 64
- 8 in 10 games
- TEX by 13 to TEX by 40
Advantages Why Texas can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Texas about 19.0 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.7 points to Texas in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas 51st (+9.9), Gardner-Webb 364th (-29.8) of 365.
- Texas's offense (120.1 points per 100 possessions, 13th in Division I) meets a Gardner-Webb defense that ranks 360th.
- Team matchup: where Texas can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (26th of 365) meets the Gardner-Webb defensive rebounding (354th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (50th of 365) meets the Gardner-Webb shooting defense (357th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Dailyn Swain (Texas: 17.3 pts, 7.5 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 15.3) has the edge on Jacob Hudson (Gardner-Webb: 10.6 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.3).
- Simulation: Texas win 4,985 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas may not
- Weak spot: Texas rank 352nd of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (13.2).
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Gardner-Webb 269th (15.3), Texas 352nd (13.2) of 365.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Gardner-Webb have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas on paper, but Jacob Hudson (10.6 pts, 3.9 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Gardner-Webb win 15 of 5,000 simulations (under 1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
GWEB Gardner-Webb
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TEX Texas
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| GWEB | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -29.8 364 | Net rating | +9.9 51 |
| 92.5 360 | Offensive rating | 120.1 13 |
| 122.3 360 | Defensive rating | 110.1 227 |
| +0.4 122 | Strength of schedule | +2.0 36 |
| 47.3% 327 | Effective FG% | 54.6% 50 |
| 57.0% 357 | Opponent eFG% | 50.5% 135 |
| 19.9 345 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.0 66 |
| 22.7% 351 | Offensive rebound % | 36.0% 26 |
| 31.0% 316 | 3-point % | 35.6% 76 |
| 70.8 87 | Pace | 68.7 199 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Gardner-Webb 63 @ Texas 95Dec 29, 2009
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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