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LEM

Le Moyne @ Creighton

NCAAB · · CHI Health Center Omaha

CREI

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
CREICreighton Bluejays
91% to win
ModelLEM 9%CREI 91%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetCREI -14.6
Totaln/a152.3
Moneylinen/aLEM +1029
CREI -1029 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
CREI 83, LEM 68
8 in 10 games
CREI by 1 to CREI by 29
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Creighton can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Creighton about 8.2 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Home court: Creighton play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  3. Strength of schedule: Creighton 53rd (+1.8), Le Moyne 341st (-1.7) of 365.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Creighton 153rd (16.3), Le Moyne 328th (19.2) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Creighton. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (331st of 365) meets the Le Moyne ball security (328th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Creighton. The closest: at guard, Ametri Moss (Le Moyne: 7.5 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.5 ast, Game Score 9.8) is about even with Josh Dix (Creighton: 13.2 pts, 3.7 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 9.7).
  7. Simulation: Creighton win 4,555 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Creighton may not

  1. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Le Moyne 90th (0.28), Creighton 296th (0.22) of 365.
  2. Weak spot: Creighton rank 331st of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (14.2).
  3. Weak spot: Creighton rank 296th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (26.9%).
  4. Weak spot: Creighton rank 296th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.22).
  5. Team matchup: a strength Creighton may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (109th of 365) meets the Le Moyne shooting defense (92nd), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Shilo Jackson (Le Moyne: 15.8 pts, 8.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 13.7) has the edge on Jasen Green (Creighton: 10.3 pts, 6.2 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 10.0).
  7. Upset odds: Le Moyne win 445 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

LEM Le Moyne

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

CREI Creighton

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

LEMCREI
0-1Record1-0
-4.1 238Net rating+0.6 171
104.0 268Offensive rating109.0 159
108.1 171Defensive rating108.5 182
-1.7 341Strength of schedule+1.8 53
52.5% 124Effective FG%52.9% 109
49.8% 92Opponent eFG%51.2% 171
19.2 328Turnovers per 10016.3 153
25.0% 341Offensive rebound %26.9% 296
34.3% 1513-point %34.0% 167
69.3 160Pace69.0 183

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Le Moyne9%
91%Creighton

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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