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CCSU

Central Connecticut @ Syracuse

NCAAB · · JMA Wireless Dome

SYR

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SYRSyracuse Orange
85% to win
ModelCCSU 15%SYR 85%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 85% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSYR -10.9
Totaln/a145.4
Moneylinen/aCCSU +553
SYR -553 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
SYR 80, CCSU 69
8 in 10 games
CCSU by 3 to SYR by 25
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Syracuse can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Syracuse about 5.0 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Home court: Syracuse play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  3. Strength of schedule: Syracuse 50th (+1.8), Central Connecticut 359th (-2.1) of 365.
  4. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Syracuse 124th (17.5), Central Connecticut 339th (14.0) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Syracuse. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (124th of 365) meets the Central Connecticut ball security (152nd), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Nate Kingz (Syracuse: 12.2 pts, 3.6 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.4) has the edge on James Jones (Central Connecticut: 4.1 pts, 5.7 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 4.7).
  7. Simulation: Syracuse win 4,235 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Syracuse may not

  1. Three-point shooting: Central Connecticut 58th (35.9%), Syracuse 244th (32.7%) of 365.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Syracuse lose by 3 or more.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Central Connecticut 168th (69.8%), Syracuse 305th (66.7%) of 365.
  4. Weak spot: Syracuse rank 305th of 365 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (66.7%).
  5. Team matchup: a strength Syracuse may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (130th of 365) meets the Central Connecticut shooting defense (121st), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Darin Smith Jr. (Central Connecticut: 20.7 pts, 5.4 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 14.3) has the edge on Donnie Freeman (Syracuse: 16.5 pts, 7.2 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 11.5).
  7. Upset odds: Central Connecticut win 765 of 5,000 simulations (15%). A 85% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

CCSU Central Connecticut

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

SYR Syracuse

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

CCSUSYR
0-1Record1-0
-2.7 221Net rating+1.8 151
106.9 203Offensive rating108.7 165
109.6 213Defensive rating107.0 136
-2.1 359Strength of schedule+1.8 50
51.3% 180Effective FG%52.4% 130
50.3% 121Opponent eFG%50.2% 117
16.3 152Turnovers per 10015.7 116
27.3% 287Offensive rebound %29.4% 228
35.9% 583-point %32.7% 244
65.6 331Pace69.0 182

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Central Connecticut 62 @ Syracuse 96Dec 31, 2012

What if?

Central Connecticut15%
85%Syracuse

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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