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STO

Stonehill @ Fordham

NCAAB · · Rose Hill Gym

FOR

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
FORFordham Rams
71% to win
ModelSTO 29%FOR 71%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetFOR -6.3
Totaln/a138.7
Moneylinen/aSTO +244
FOR -244 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
FOR 78, STO 72
8 in 10 games
STO by 8 to FOR by 20
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Fordham can win

  1. Home court: Fordham play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Fordham 174th (+0.3), Stonehill 280th (-7.9) of 365.
  3. Strength of schedule: Fordham 145th (+0.2), Stonehill 358th (-2.1) of 365.
  4. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Fordham 69th (33.9%), Stonehill 281st (27.5%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Fordham can take advantage. Their ball pressure (128th of 365) meets the Stonehill ball security (333rd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Rikus Schulte (Fordham: 10.4 pts, 9.0 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 10.4) has the edge on Raymond Espinal-Guzman (Stonehill: 6.3 pts, 5.1 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 4.3); best player against best player, Dejour Reaves (Fordham: 17.9 pts, 4.3 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 13.5) has the edge on Chas Stinson (Stonehill: 11.3 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.2).
  7. Simulation: Fordham win 3,545 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Fordham may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Fordham lose by 8 or more.
  2. Weak spot: Fordham rank 361st of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
  3. Weak spot: Fordham rank 349th of 365 in three-point shooting (29.4%).
  4. Weak spot: Fordham rank 322nd of 365 in points per game (67.5).
  5. Team matchup: a strength Fordham may not get to use. Their offensive rebounding (69th of 365) meets the Stonehill defensive rebounding (35th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Fordham on paper, but Chas Stinson (11.3 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Stonehill win 1,455 of 5,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

STO Stonehill

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

FOR Fordham

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

STOFOR
0-0Record0-1
-7.9 280Net rating+0.3 174
94.9 354Offensive rating103.5 278
102.8 54Defensive rating103.2 59
-2.1 358Strength of schedule+0.2 145
46.9% 335Effective FG%48.3% 306
47.8% 37Opponent eFG%50.5% 132
19.4 333Turnovers per 10017.3 225
27.5% 281Offensive rebound %33.9% 69
31.7% 2883-point %29.4% 349
67.6 249Pace65.2 343

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Stonehill 60 @ Fordham 71Nov 22, 2022

What if?

Stonehill29%
71%Fordham

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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