- West Georgia 0-1 · UAC 0-0, 9th · L1
- Loyola Chicago 1-0 · A-10 0-0, 6th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | LUC -7 |
| Total | n/a | 147.3 |
| Moneyline | n/a | WGA +291 LUC -291 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- LUC 79, WGA 71
- 8 in 10 games
- WGA by 7 to LUC by 21
Advantages Why Loyola Chicago can win
- Home court: Loyola Chicago play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Loyola Chicago about 1.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Strength of schedule: Loyola Chicago 101st (+0.9), West Georgia 239th (-0.6) of 365.
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Loyola Chicago 255th (0.23), West Georgia 342nd (0.20) of 365.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Loyola Chicago. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (241st of 365) meets the West Georgia shooting defense (274th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: West Georgia play fast (71st of 365 in pace), Loyola Chicago slow (314th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Loyola Chicago, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Xavier Amos (10.6 pts, 4.2 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.5) leading the way.
- Simulation: Loyola Chicago win 3,720 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Loyola Chicago may not
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): West Georgia 126th (15.9), Loyola Chicago 338th (19.7) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Loyola Chicago lose by 7 or more.
- West Georgia's offense (105.1 points per 100 possessions, 245th in Division I) meets a Loyola Chicago defense that ranks 303rd.
- Weak spot: Loyola Chicago rank 347th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (13.4).
- Team matchup: West Georgia have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Shelton Williams-Dryden (West Georgia: 20.7 pts, 9.1 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 15.4) has the edge on Xavier Amos (Loyola Chicago: 10.6 pts, 4.2 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.5); at guard, Chas Lewless (West Georgia: 12.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 7.1) has the edge on Kymany Houinsou (Loyola Chicago: 6.0 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.0 ast, Game Score 5.3).
- Upset odds: West Georgia win 1,280 of 5,000 simulations (26%). A 74% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
WGA West Georgia
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
LUC Loyola Chicago
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| WGA | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -7.8 279 | Net rating | -12.1 320 |
| 105.1 245 | Offensive rating | 101.6 307 |
| 112.9 287 | Defensive rating | 113.7 303 |
| -0.6 239 | Strength of schedule | +0.9 101 |
| 49.3% 274 | Effective FG% | 49.9% 241 |
| 53.2% 274 | Opponent eFG% | 51.8% 206 |
| 15.9 126 | Turnovers per 100 | 19.7 338 |
| 31.2% 155 | Offensive rebound % | 31.4% 150 |
| 33.1% 218 | 3-point % | 31.6% 298 |
| 71.1 71 | Pace | 66.0 314 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
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