- Bellarmine 0-1 · Atlantic Sun 0-0, 5th · L1
- Indiana 1-0 · Big Ten 0-0, 2nd · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | IU -20 |
| Total | n/a | 151.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | BELL +2876 IU -2876 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- IU 85, BELL 65
- 8 in 10 games
- IU by 6 to IU by 34
Advantages Why Indiana can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Indiana about 12.3 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Indiana 47th (+10.1), Bellarmine 290th (-8.5) of 365.
- Indiana's offense (116.4 points per 100 possessions, 43rd in Division I) meets a Bellarmine defense that ranks 363rd.
- Home court: Indiana play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Team matchup: where Indiana can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (20th of 365) meets the Bellarmine shooting defense (364th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Lamar Wilkerson (Indiana: 20.9 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 14.3) has the edge on Brian Waddell (Bellarmine: 15.0 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.3).
- Simulation: Indiana win 4,830 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Indiana may not
- Bellarmine's offense (116.6 points per 100 possessions, 41st in Division I) meets a Indiana defense that ranks 119th.
- Three-point shooting: Bellarmine 18th (37.7%), Indiana 125th (34.7%) of 365.
- Weak spot: Indiana rank 289th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (27.2%).
- Weak spot: Indiana rank 249th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (15.6).
- Team matchup: where Bellarmine can push back. Their shooting efficiency (4th of 365) meets the Indiana shooting defense (71st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Indiana on paper, but Brian Waddell (15.0 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Bellarmine win 170 of 5,000 simulations (3%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 3 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
BELL Bellarmine
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
IU Indiana
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| BELL | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -8.5 290 | Net rating | +10.1 47 |
| 116.6 41 | Offensive rating | 116.4 43 |
| 125.2 363 | Defensive rating | 106.2 119 |
| -0.2 191 | Strength of schedule | +1.8 49 |
| 59.0% 4 | Effective FG% | 56.2% 20 |
| 59.6% 364 | Opponent eFG% | 49.1% 71 |
| 16.1 142 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.1 74 |
| 22.3% 354 | Offensive rebound % | 27.2% 289 |
| 37.7% 18 | 3-point % | 34.7% 125 |
| 66.8 290 | Pace | 67.5 257 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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