21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
UTC

Chattanooga @ Penn State

NCAAB · · Bryce Jordan Center

PSU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
PSUPenn State Nittany Lions
73% to win
ModelUTC 27%PSU 73%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetPSU -6.7
Totaln/a153.3
Moneylinen/aUTC +275
PSU -275 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
PSU 80, UTC 74
8 in 10 games
UTC by 7 to PSU by 21
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Penn State can win

  1. Home court: Penn State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Penn State's offense (110.0 points per 100 possessions, 133rd in Division I) meets a Chattanooga defense that ranks 329th.
  3. Strength of schedule: Penn State 44th (+1.9), Chattanooga 258th (-0.7) of 365.
  4. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Penn State about 1.6 points stronger over recent games.
  5. Team matchup: where Penn State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (92nd of 365) meets the Chattanooga shooting defense (197th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Penn State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Josh Reed (11.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 9.2) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Penn State win 3,665 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Penn State may not

  1. Chattanooga's offense (109.3 points per 100 possessions, 151st in Division I) meets a Penn State defense that ranks 337th.
  2. Three-point shooting: Chattanooga 112th (35.0%), Penn State 273rd (32.1%) of 365.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Penn State lose by 7 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Penn State rank 362nd of 365 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (57.9%).
  5. Team matchup: where Chattanooga can push back. Their shooting efficiency (58th of 365) meets the Penn State shooting defense (362nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jordan Frison (Chattanooga: 16.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 13.1) has the edge on Josh Reed (Penn State: 11.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 9.2).
  7. Upset odds: Chattanooga win 1,335 of 5,000 simulations (27%). A 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

UTC Chattanooga

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

PSU Penn State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

UTCPSU
0-1Record1-0
-6.3 261Net rating-6.3 262
109.3 151Offensive rating110.0 133
115.6 329Defensive rating116.3 337
-0.7 258Strength of schedule+1.9 44
54.2% 58Effective FG%53.2% 92
51.7% 197Opponent eFG%57.9% 362
14.8 52Turnovers per 10015.5 100
22.1% 355Offensive rebound %26.5% 313
35.0% 1123-point %32.1% 273
67.7 244Pace67.6 247

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Chattanooga27%
73%Penn State

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat