Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | IONA -10 |
| Total | n/a | 145 |
| Moneyline | n/a | NJIT +466 IONA -466 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- IONA 80, NJIT 70
- 8 in 10 games
- NJIT by 4 to IONA by 24
Advantages Why Iona can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Iona about 3.1 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Iona 163rd (+1.0), NJIT 321st (-12.1) of 365.
- Home court: Iona play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Three-point shooting: Iona 105th (35.2%), NJIT 342nd (29.8%) of 365.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Iona. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (167th of 365) meets the NJIT ball security (200th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Lamin Sabally (Iona: 11.4 pts, 8.2 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 12.0) has the edge on David Bolden (NJIT: 11.5 pts, 2.7 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 7.0).
- Simulation: Iona win 4,115 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Iona may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Iona lose by 4 or more.
- Weak spot: Iona rank 336th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.20).
- Weak spot: Iona rank 335th of 365 in strength of schedule (-1.5).
- Weak spot: Iona rank 270th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (27.9%).
- Team matchup: NJIT have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Iona on paper, but David Bolden (11.5 pts, 2.7 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 7.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: NJIT win 885 of 5,000 simulations (18%). A 82% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
NJIT NJIT
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
IONA Iona
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| NJIT | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -12.1 321 | Net rating | +1.0 163 |
| 97.0 343 | Offensive rating | 105.4 239 |
| 109.1 197 | Defensive rating | 104.4 79 |
| -0.8 278 | Strength of schedule | -1.5 335 |
| 46.4% 344 | Effective FG% | 51.7% 163 |
| 50.2% 110 | Opponent eFG% | 48.8% 58 |
| 17.0 200 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.3 224 |
| 26.2% 318 | Offensive rebound % | 27.9% 270 |
| 29.8% 342 | 3-point % | 35.2% 105 |
| 67.9 231 | Pace | 69.5 147 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
- Iona 74 @ NJIT 70Dec 9, 2017
- NJIT 80 @ Iona 94Dec 14, 2016
Your pick
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