- Bethune-Cookman 0-1 · SWAC 0-0, 7th · L1
- Texas Tech AP #19 · 1-0 · Big 12 0-0, 10th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TTU -16.9 |
| Total | n/a | 150.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | BCU +1482 TTU -1482 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TTU 83, BCU 66.5
- 8 in 10 games
- TTU by 3 to TTU by 31
Advantages Why Texas Tech can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Texas Tech about 9.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas Tech 39th (+11.6), Bethune-Cookman 241st (-4.4) of 365.
- Home court: Texas Tech play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.2 points to Texas Tech in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Texas Tech can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (88th of 365) meets the Bethune-Cookman defensive rebounding (238th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (21st of 365) meets the Bethune-Cookman shooting defense (96th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, JT Toppin (Texas Tech: 21.8 pts, 10.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 18.3) has the edge on Jakobi Heady (Bethune-Cookman: 18.2 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 15.0).
- Simulation: Texas Tech win 4,685 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas Tech may not
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Bethune-Cookman 77th (0.28), Texas Tech 340th (0.20) of 365.
- Weak spot: Texas Tech rank 340th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.20).
- Weak spot: Texas Tech rank 264th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (15.4).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: Bethune-Cookman have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas Tech on paper, but Jakobi Heady (18.2 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 15.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Bethune-Cookman win 315 of 5,000 simulations (6%). A 94% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
BCU Bethune-Cookman
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TTU Texas Tech
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| BCU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -4.4 241 | Net rating | +11.6 39 |
| 103.9 269 | Offensive rating | 117.5 37 |
| 108.2 176 | Defensive rating | 105.8 107 |
| -0.9 288 | Strength of schedule | +2.8 13 |
| 50.9% 198 | Effective FG% | 56.0% 21 |
| 49.8% 96 | Opponent eFG% | 49.3% 81 |
| 19.1 320 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.7 117 |
| 30.0% 199 | Offensive rebound % | 33.1% 88 |
| 33.3% 205 | 3-point % | 38.6% 6 |
| 71.6 49 | Pace | 68.2 220 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
- Bethune-Cookman 61 @ Texas Tech 94Nov 5, 2024
- Bethune-Cookman 44 @ Texas Tech 79Nov 9, 2019
Your pick
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What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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