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DSU

Delaware State @ Navy

NCAAB · · Alumni Hall (Navy)

NAVY

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
NAVYNavy Midshipmen
87% to win
ModelDSU 13%NAVY 87%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 87% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetNAVY -12.7
Totaln/a136.7
Moneylinen/aDSU +696
NAVY -696 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
NAVY 81, DSU 68
8 in 10 games
DSU by 2 to NAVY by 26
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Navy can win

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Navy 50th (+10.0), Delaware State 348th (-17.6) of 365.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Navy about 4.7 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Home court: Navy play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.6 points to Navy in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Navy can take advantage. Their ball pressure (83rd of 365) meets the Delaware State ball security (344th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (133rd of 365) meets the Delaware State shooting defense (265th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Aidan Kehoe (Navy: 15.2 pts, 10.9 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 16.7) has the edge on Ponce James (Delaware State: 13.6 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 9.3).
  7. Simulation: Navy win 4,370 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Navy may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Navy lose by 2 or more.
  2. Weak spot: Navy rank 364th of 365 in strength of schedule (-2.7).
  3. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  4. Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  5. Team matchup: where Delaware State can push back. Their ball pressure (34th of 365) meets the Navy ball security (211th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Navy on paper, but Ponce James (13.6 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 9.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Delaware State win 630 of 5,000 simulations (13%). A 87% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

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Who's out

DSU Delaware State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

NAVY Navy

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

DSUNAVY
0-0Record0-1
-17.6 348Net rating+10.0 50
89.5 364Offensive rating110.4 124
107.1 142Defensive rating100.4 29
-1.4 324Strength of schedule-2.7 364
42.9% 363Effective FG%52.2% 133
52.9% 265Opponent eFG%48.8% 62
19.9 344Turnovers per 10017.1 211
27.7% 275Offensive rebound %31.6% 140
28.4% 3603-point %35.1% 108
66.7 295Pace66.1 309

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • Navy 66 @ Delaware State 59Dec 3, 2025
  • Navy 63 vs Delaware State 53Nov 24, 2012

What if?

Delaware State13%
87%Navy

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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