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UALB

UAlbany @ Manhattan

NCAAB · · America East-Metro Challenge · Draddy Gymnasium

MAN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
UALBUAlbany Great Danes
54% to win
ModelUALB 54%MAN 46%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetUALB -1.4
Totaln/a146.2
Moneylinen/aUALB -116
MAN +116 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
MAN 75, UALB 76
8 in 10 games
UALB by 15 to MAN by 13
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why UAlbany can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated UAlbany about 4.6 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.3 points to UAlbany in our ratings.
  3. UAlbany's offense (104.6 points per 100 possessions, 255th in Division I) meets a Manhattan defense that ranks 332nd.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): UAlbany 273rd (67.6%), Manhattan 360th (62.7%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where UAlbany can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (97th of 365) meets the Manhattan defensive rebounding (360th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (175th of 365) meets the Manhattan shooting defense (307th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors UAlbany. The closest: best player against best player, Okechukwu Okeke (UAlbany: 10.8 pts, 7.3 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 11.0) is about even with Terrance Jones (Manhattan: 12.7 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 9.9).
  7. Simulation: UAlbany win 2,685 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why UAlbany may not

  1. Home court: Manhattan play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Manhattan 119th (15.8), UAlbany 294th (18.5) of 365.
  3. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Manhattan 123rd (0.27), UAlbany 363rd (0.16) of 365.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations UAlbany lose by 13 or more.
  5. Team matchup: where Manhattan can push back. Their ball pressure (171st of 365) meets the UAlbany ball security (294th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean UAlbany on paper, but Terrance Jones (12.7 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 9.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Manhattan win 2,315 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

UALB UAlbany

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

MAN Manhattan

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

UALBMAN
0-0Record0-1
-8.9 297Net rating-11.4 318
104.6 255Offensive rating104.4 260
113.5 301Defensive rating115.8 332
-1.0 299Strength of schedule-1.8 350
51.3% 175Effective FG%47.7% 321
53.2% 276Opponent eFG%54.2% 307
18.5 294Turnovers per 10015.8 119
32.7% 97Offensive rebound %28.7% 245
32.6% 2513-point %31.8% 283
65.6 327Pace68.8 190

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

  • Albany 51 @ Manhattan 57Nov 16, 2019
  • Manhattan 67 @ Albany 77Dec 20, 2018
  • Manhattan 89 @ Albany 79Mar 14, 2012 · Postseason

What if?

UAlbany54%
46%Manhattan

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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