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Maine @ Sacred Heart

NCAAB Β· Β· America East-Metro Challenge Β· William H. Pitt Center

SHU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SHUSacred Heart Pioneers
79% to win
ModelME 21%SHU 79%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 79% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSHU -9
Totaln/a143.3
Moneylinen/aME +367
SHU -367 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
SHU 79, ME 70
8 in 10 games
ME by 5 to SHU by 23
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Sacred Heart can win

  1. Home court: Sacred Heart play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Sacred Heart about 2.5 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Three-point shooting: Sacred Heart 71st (35.7%), Maine 309th (31.4%) of 365.
  4. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Sacred Heart 245th (-4.7), Maine 323rd (-12.2) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Sacred Heart can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (249th of 365) meets the Maine defensive rebounding (323rd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Dashon Gittens (Sacred Heart: 13.5 pts, 5.8 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 12.3) has the edge on Logan Carey (Maine: 9.7 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 7.4); best player against best player, Anquan Hill (Sacred Heart: 17.6 pts, 6.1 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 12.6) has the edge on TJ Biel (Maine: 11.7 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.3).
  7. Simulation: Sacred Heart win 3,930 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Sacred Heart may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Sacred Heart lose by 5 or more.
  2. Weak spot: Sacred Heart rank 353rd of 365 in strength of schedule (-1.8).
  3. Weak spot: Sacred Heart rank 322nd of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (14.5).
  4. Weak spot: Sacred Heart rank 289th of 365 in defense, points allowed per 100 possessions (113.0).
  5. Team matchup: where Maine can push back. Their ball pressure (45th of 365) meets the Sacred Heart ball security (246th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Sacred Heart on paper, but TJ Biel (11.7 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Maine win 1,070 of 5,000 simulations (21%). A 79% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Who's out

ME Maine

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

SHU Sacred Heart

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

MESHU
0-1Record0-0
-12.2 323Net rating-4.7 245
93.8 357Offensive rating108.3 175
106.1 115Defensive rating113.0 289
-1.1 304Strength of schedule-1.8 353
49.4% 265Effective FG%52.0% 148
50.7% 144Opponent eFG%53.5% 282
19.6 336Turnovers per 10017.7 246
19.8% 363Offensive rebound %28.6% 249
31.4% 3093-point %35.7% 71
65.0 347Pace68.6 201

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Sacred Heart 69 vs Maine 68Nov 19, 2017

What if?

Maine21%
79%Sacred Heart

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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