Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UTAH -0.9 |
| Total | n/a | 140.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | TOW +112 UTAH -112 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- UTAH 75, TOW 75
- 8 in 10 games
- TOW by 13 to UTAH by 15
Advantages Why Utah can win
- Home court: Utah play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Three-point shooting: Utah 107th (35.1%), Towson 350th (29.3%) of 365.
- Strength of schedule: Utah 66th (+1.6), Towson 150th (+0.2) of 365.
- Strength: Utah rank 66th of 365 in strength of schedule (+1.6).
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Utah. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (139th of 365) meets the Towson shooting defense (59th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Don McHenry (Utah: 17.0 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 11.5) has the edge on Jack Doumbia Jr. (Towson: 10.7 pts, 5.6 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 7.6).
- Simulation: Utah win 2,645 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Utah may not
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Towson about 2.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.2 points to Towson in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Towson 176th (+0.0), Utah 265th (-6.6) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Utah lose by 13 or more.
- Team matchup: where Towson can push back. Their offensive rebounding (23rd of 365) meets the Utah defensive rebounding (209th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Utah on paper, but Jack Doumbia Jr. (10.7 pts, 5.6 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 7.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Towson win 2,355 of 5,000 simulations (47%). A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
TOW Towson
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
UTAH Utah
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| TOW | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| +0.0 176 | Net rating | -6.6 265 |
| 104.4 261 | Offensive rating | 108.6 168 |
| 104.4 78 | Defensive rating | 115.2 326 |
| +0.2 150 | Strength of schedule | +1.6 66 |
| 46.4% 345 | Effective FG% | 52.1% 139 |
| 48.8% 59 | Opponent eFG% | 53.8% 294 |
| 16.0 131 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.9 192 |
| 36.1% 23 | Offensive rebound % | 29.4% 229 |
| 29.3% 350 | 3-point % | 35.1% 107 |
| 64.3 356 | Pace | 68.2 219 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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