- Green Bay 1-0 · Horizon 0-0, 1st · W1
- Cincinnati 1-0 · Big 12 0-0, 4th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | CIN -14.8 |
| Total | n/a | 143 |
| Moneyline | n/a | GB +1047 CIN -1047 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- CIN 82, GB 67
- 8 in 10 games
- CIN by 1 to CIN by 29
Advantages Why Cincinnati can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Cincinnati about 7.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Cincinnati 67th (+8.8), Green Bay 224th (-3.0) of 365.
- Home court: Cincinnati play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.7 points to Cincinnati in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Cincinnati can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (220th of 365) meets the Green Bay shooting defense (285th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Cincinnati play fast (146th of 365 in pace), Green Bay slow (342nd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Baba Miller (Cincinnati: 13.0 pts, 10.3 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 13.1) has the edge on Preston Ruedinger (Green Bay: 11.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 5.5 ast, Game Score 11.0).
- Simulation: Cincinnati win 4,565 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Cincinnati may not
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Green Bay 13th (0.32), Cincinnati 344th (0.20) of 365.
- Three-point shooting: Green Bay 37th (36.4%), Cincinnati 180th (33.8%) of 365.
- Weak spot: Cincinnati rank 344th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.20).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: a strength Cincinnati may not get to use. Their ball pressure (79th of 365) meets the Green Bay ball security (132nd), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Cincinnati on paper, but Preston Ruedinger (11.6 pts, 3.8 reb, 5.5 ast, Game Score 11.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Green Bay win 435 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
GB Green Bay
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
CIN Cincinnati
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| GB | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| -3.0 224 | Net rating | +8.8 67 |
| 113.3 78 | Offensive rating | 105.4 240 |
| 116.3 338 | Defensive rating | 96.6 6 |
| -0.2 190 | Strength of schedule | +1.4 77 |
| 54.9% 39 | Effective FG% | 50.4% 220 |
| 53.6% 285 | Opponent eFG% | 47.0% 21 |
| 16.0 132 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.0 197 |
| 25.1% 340 | Offensive rebound % | 31.0% 162 |
| 36.4% 37 | 3-point % | 33.8% 180 |
| 65.2 342 | Pace | 69.5 146 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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