21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
MCN

McNeese @ North Texas

NCAAB · · The Super Pit

UNT

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
MCNMcNeese Cowboys
64% to win
ModelMCN 64%UNT 36%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetMCN -4.1
Totaln/a143.4
Moneylinen/aMCN -180
UNT +180 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
UNT 73, MCN 77
8 in 10 games
MCN by 18 to UNT by 10
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why McNeese can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated McNeese about 6.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.3 points to McNeese in our ratings.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): McNeese 24th (+14.2), North Texas 158th (+1.4) of 365.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): McNeese 23rd (14.1), North Texas 180th (16.7) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where McNeese can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (38th of 365) meets the North Texas defensive rebounding (274th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (1st of 365) meets the North Texas ball security (180th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Larry Johnson (McNeese: 17.8 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 13.6) has the edge on Je'Shawn Stevenson (North Texas: 17.3 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.2).
  7. Simulation: McNeese win 3,210 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why McNeese may not

  1. Home court: North Texas play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations McNeese lose by 10 or more.
  3. Weak spot: McNeese rank 334th of 365 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (65.2%).
  4. Weak spot: McNeese rank 267th of 365 in three-point shooting (32.2%).
  5. Team matchup: where North Texas can push back. Their offensive rebounding (76th of 365) meets the McNeese defensive rebounding (334th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Dylan Arnett (North Texas: 7.6 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 6.3) has the edge on Jerrell Colbert (McNeese: 5.7 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 5.0).
  7. Upset odds: North Texas win 1,790 of 5,000 simulations (36%). A 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

MCN McNeese

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

UNT North Texas

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

MCNUNT
1-0Record0-0
+14.2 24Net rating+1.4 158
114.9 62Offensive rating102.3 298
100.7 32Defensive rating100.9 34
+0.1 165Strength of schedule+0.4 126
51.1% 189Effective FG%46.0% 348
49.3% 80Opponent eFG%48.4% 47
14.1 23Turnovers per 10016.7 180
35.3% 38Offensive rebound %33.5% 76
32.2% 2673-point %28.7% 357
67.2 273Pace67.6 250

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • North Texas 61 @ McNeese 68Nov 18, 2024
  • McNeese 47 @ North Texas 85Dec 9, 2017

What if?

McNeese64%
36%North Texas

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat