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PRES

Presbyterian @ Wake Forest

NCAAW · · LJVM Coliseum

WAKE

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
WAKEWake Forest Demon Deacons
80% to win
ModelPRES 20%WAKE 80%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWAKE -10
Totaln/a131.9
Moneylinen/aPRES +391
WAKE -391 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
WAKE 80, PRES 70
8 in 10 games
PRES by 7 to WAKE by 26
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Wake Forest can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.6 points to Wake Forest in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Wake Forest 184th (-1.3), Presbyterian 359th (-33.2) of 363.
  3. Home court: Wake Forest play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  4. Wake Forest's offense (91.6 points per 100 possessions, 173rd in Division I) meets a Presbyterian defense that ranks 348th.
  5. Team matchup: where Wake Forest can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (54th of 363) meets the Presbyterian shooting defense (361st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (283rd of 363) meets the Presbyterian ball security (354th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Grace Oliver (Wake Forest: 14.3 pts, 6.1 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 12.0) has the edge on Aretha Linger (Presbyterian: 8.2 pts, 4.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 5.1).
  7. Simulation: Wake Forest win 3,980 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Wake Forest may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Presbyterian about 2.6 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Wake Forest lose by 7 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Wake Forest rank 336th of 363 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (24.5%).
  4. Weak spot: Wake Forest rank 304th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.17).
  5. Team matchup: where Presbyterian can push back. Their ball pressure (120th of 363) meets the Wake Forest ball security (204th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (171st of 363) meets the Wake Forest defensive rebounding (254th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Wake Forest on paper, but Aretha Linger (8.2 pts, 4.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 5.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Presbyterian win 1,020 of 5,000 simulations (20%). A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Who's out

PRES Presbyterian

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

WAKE Wake Forest

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

PRESWAKE
0-1Record1-0
-33.2 359Net rating-1.3 184
71.0 359Offensive rating91.6 173
104.3 348Defensive rating92.9 218
-0.9 282Strength of schedule+0.8 99
36.3% 360Effective FG%50.0% 54
53.6% 361Opponent eFG%44.3% 105
29.4 354Turnovers per 10023.3 204
31.7% 171Offensive rebound %24.5% 336
22.9% 3613-point %33.0% 77
71.1 180Pace71.1 179

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • Presbyterian 41 @ Wake Forest 78Nov 6, 2025
  • Presbyterian 25 @ Wake Forest 66Nov 29, 2009

What if?

Presbyterian20%
80%Wake Forest

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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