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USI

Southern Indiana @ Kansas State

NCAAW Β· Β· Bramlage Coliseum

KSU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
KSUKansas State Wildcats
69% to win
ModelUSI 31%KSU 69%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 69% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetKSU -5.9
Totaln/a135.7
Moneylinen/aUSI +218
KSU -218 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
KSU 78, USI 72
8 in 10 games
USI by 11 to KSU by 22
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Kansas State can win

  1. Home court: Kansas State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Kansas State 31st (+2.6), Southern Indiana 278th (-0.8) of 363.
  3. Three-point shooting: Kansas State 40th (34.4%), Southern Indiana 145th (31.2%) of 363.
  4. Strength: Kansas State rank 31st of 363 in strength of schedule (+2.6).
  5. Team matchup: where Kansas State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (67th of 363) meets the Southern Indiana shooting defense (134th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Kansas State. The closest: at forward, Chloe Gannon (Southern Indiana: 13.1 pts, 6.6 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.7) is about even with Nastja Claessens (Kansas State: 11.9 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.4).
  7. Simulation: Kansas State win 3,430 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Kansas State may not

  1. Southern Indiana's offense (95.4 points per 100 possessions, 122nd in Division I) meets a Kansas State defense that ranks 221st.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Kansas State lose by 11 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Kansas State rank 307th of 363 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (26.5%).
  4. Weak spot: Kansas State rank 274th of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (47.4%).
  5. Team matchup: where Southern Indiana can push back. Their offensive rebounding (74th of 363) meets the Kansas State defensive rebounding (155th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (212th of 363) meets the Kansas State shooting defense (274th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Ali Saunders (Southern Indiana: 17.8 pts, 3.1 reb, 4.7 ast, Game Score 12.3) has the edge on Taryn Sides (Kansas State: 12.5 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 9.8).
  7. Upset odds: Southern Indiana win 1,570 of 5,000 simulations (31%). A 69% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

USI Southern Indiana

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

KSU Kansas State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

USIKSU
0-1Record1-0
+7.4 104Net rating+4.0 131
95.4 122Offensive rating97.0 99
88.0 98Defensive rating93.0 221
-0.8 278Strength of schedule+2.6 31
44.4% 212Effective FG%49.4% 67
44.8% 134Opponent eFG%47.4% 274
20.9 100Turnovers per 10020.3 87
35.0% 74Offensive rebound %26.5% 307
31.2% 1453-point %34.4% 40
70.6 216Pace71.8 151

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Southern Indiana31%
69%Kansas State

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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