Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UGA -12.6 |
| Total | n/a | 136.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | WIN +611 UGA -611 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- UGA 81, WIN 69
- 8 in 10 games
- WIN by 4 to UGA by 29
Advantages Why Georgia can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.4 points to Georgia in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Georgia 33rd (+17.0), Winthrop 254th (-8.4) of 363.
- Georgia's offense (102.8 points per 100 possessions, 38th in Division I) meets a Winthrop defense that ranks 263rd.
- Home court: Georgia play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Georgia can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (41st of 363) meets the Winthrop shooting defense (341st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (223rd of 363) meets the Winthrop defensive rebounding (329th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Georgia, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Aubrey Beckham (1.0 pts, 1.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 1.2) leading the way.
- Simulation: Georgia win 4,295 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Georgia may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Georgia lose by 4 or more.
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Winthrop 29th (27.3), Georgia 156th (23.0) of 363.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Winthrop have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Madison Ruff (Winthrop: 11.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 7.3) has the edge on Aubrey Beckham (Georgia: 1.0 pts, 1.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 1.2); at forward, Tocarra Johnson (Winthrop: 6.0 pts, 6.9 reb, 0.4 ast, Game Score 4.7) has the edge on Vera Ojenuwa (Georgia: 3.0 pts, 2.0 reb, 0.2 ast, Game Score 1.2).
- Upset odds: Winthrop win 705 of 5,000 simulations (14%). A 86% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
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Who's out
WIN Winthrop
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
UGA Georgia
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| WIN | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| -8.4 254 | Net rating | +17.0 33 |
| 87.1 243 | Offensive rating | 102.8 38 |
| 95.5 263 | Defensive rating | 85.8 50 |
| -1.3 318 | Strength of schedule | +2.0 53 |
| 44.0% 229 | Effective FG% | 50.5% 41 |
| 50.1% 341 | Opponent eFG% | 43.6% 64 |
| 24.1 241 | Turnovers per 100 | 19.1 49 |
| 30.6% 203 | Offensive rebound % | 30.1% 223 |
| 26.8% 319 | 3-point % | 33.4% 63 |
| 73.4 85 | Pace | 72.1 143 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Winthrop 39 @ Georgia 85Nov 11, 2018
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