Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ARMY -0.8 |
| Total | n/a | 125.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ARMY -108 BRWN +108 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- BRWN 75, ARMY 76
- 8 in 10 games
- ARMY by 17 to BRWN by 16
Advantages Why Army can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.7 points to Army in our ratings.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.7 points to Army in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Army about 1.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Army 73rd (20.0), Brown 228th (23.9) of 363.
- Team matchup: where Army can take advantage. Their ball pressure (94th of 363) meets the Brown ball security (228th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kya Smith (Army: 13.8 pts, 10.1 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 13.8) has the edge on Alyssa Moreland (Brown: 11.4 pts, 10.0 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 11.3).
- Simulation: Army win 2,590 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Army may not
- Home court: Brown play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Brown 116th (+0.5), Army 272nd (-0.8) of 363.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Army lose by 16 or more.
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Brown 73rd (35.1%), Army 172nd (31.7%) of 363.
- Team matchup: a strength Army may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (110th of 363) meets the Brown shooting defense (32nd), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Army on paper, but Alyssa Moreland (11.4 pts, 10.0 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 11.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Brown win 2,410 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
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Who's out
ARMY Army
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
BRWN Brown
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| ARMY | BRWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| +12.4 66 | Net rating | +3.2 136 |
| 98.6 72 | Offensive rating | 89.4 206 |
| 86.3 59 | Defensive rating | 86.2 55 |
| -0.8 272 | Strength of schedule | +0.5 116 |
| 47.4% 110 | Effective FG% | 44.2% 219 |
| 45.9% 205 | Opponent eFG% | 42.1% 32 |
| 20.0 73 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.9 228 |
| 31.7% 172 | Offensive rebound % | 35.1% 73 |
| 32.6% 88 | 3-point % | 29.7% 217 |
| 65.0 353 | Pace | 68.4 298 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
- Brown 65 @ Army 67Nov 23, 2013
- Army 45 @ Brown 48Jan 2, 2013
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