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TENN

Tennessee @ Coppin State

NCAAW · · Physical Education Complex

COPP

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TENNTennessee Lady Volunteers
76% to win
ModelTENN 76%COPP 24%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 76% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTENN -8.8
Totaln/a143.9
Moneylinen/aTENN -311
COPP +311 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
COPP 71, TENN 79
8 in 10 games
TENN by 25 to COPP by 8
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Tennessee can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.0 points to Tennessee in our ratings.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Tennessee about 5.2 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Tennessee 77th (+10.6), Coppin State 309th (-14.8) of 363.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.7 points to Tennessee in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Tennessee can take advantage. Their ball pressure (64th of 363) meets the Coppin State ball security (357th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (36th of 363) meets the Coppin State defensive rebounding (223rd): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Janiah Barker (Tennessee: 14.3 pts, 6.6 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 10.1) has the edge on Khila Morris (Coppin State: 13.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 7.3).
  7. Simulation: Tennessee win 3,780 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Tennessee may not

  1. Home court: Coppin State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Coppin State 68th (0.23), Tennessee 293rd (0.18) of 363.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Tennessee lose by 8 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Tennessee rank 293rd of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
  5. Team matchup: where Coppin State can push back. Their offensive rebounding (83rd of 363) meets the Tennessee defensive rebounding (212th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Tennessee on paper, but Khila Morris (13.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 7.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Coppin State win 1,220 of 5,000 simulations (24%). A 76% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Who's out

TENN Tennessee

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

COPP Coppin State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

TENNCOPP
1-0Record0-0
+10.6 77Net rating-14.8 309
101.7 44Offensive rating75.0 352
91.1 178Defensive rating89.8 146
+4.3 4Strength of schedule-0.2 190
48.1% 97Effective FG%37.8% 352
47.0% 257Opponent eFG%46.3% 225
20.1 74Turnovers per 10030.0 357
37.3% 36Offensive rebound %34.7% 83
30.8% 1603-point %26.3% 329
76.2 28Pace76.0 29

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Coppin State 35 @ Tennessee 88Nov 23, 2025

What if?

Tennessee76%
24%Coppin State

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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