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TXSO

Texas Southern @ #9 LSU

NCAAW · · Pete Maravich Assembly Center

LSU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
LSULSU Tigers
over 99% to win
ModelTXSO under 1%LSU over 99%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetLSU -40.2
Totaln/a153.3
Moneylinen/aTXSO +67332
LSU -67332 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
LSU 96, TXSO 62
8 in 10 games
LSU by 19 to LSU by 49
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why LSU can win

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): LSU 2nd (+45.3), Texas Southern 333rd (-18.8) of 363.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 17.3 points to LSU in our ratings.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated LSU about 8.7 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 7.7 points to LSU in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where LSU can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (1st of 363) meets the Texas Southern defensive rebounding (338th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (53rd of 363) meets the Texas Southern ball security (319th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, MiLaysia Fulwiley (LSU: 14.8 pts, 3.5 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 13.1) has the edge on Daeja Holmes (Texas Southern: 12.0 pts, 4.1 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 7.6).
  7. Simulation: LSU win 4,995 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why LSU may not

  1. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  2. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  3. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  4. Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
  5. Team matchup: Texas Southern have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean LSU on paper, but Daeja Holmes (12.0 pts, 4.1 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 7.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Texas Southern win 5 of 5,000 simulations (under 1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

TXSO Texas Southern

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

LSU LSU

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

TXSOLSU
0-1Record1-0
-18.8 333Net rating+45.3 2
79.7 328Offensive rating122.1 1
98.5 299Defensive rating76.9 3
-1.3 319Strength of schedule+2.4 38
39.9% 337Effective FG%55.1% 3
46.1% 214Opponent eFG%40.0% 4
26.5 319Turnovers per 10018.5 30
32.3% 147Offensive rebound %47.7% 1
24.1% 3543-point %38.2% 4
76.5 21Pace78.6 7

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

  • Texas Southern 47 @ LSU 106Nov 20, 2023
  • Texas Southern 55 @ LSU 96Dec 12, 2021
  • Texas Southern 36 @ LSU 86Dec 1, 2015
  • Texas Southern 47 @ LSU 77Dec 14, 2010

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Texas Southern0%
100%LSU

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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