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SAM

Samford @ Georgia Tech

NCAAW Β· Β· McCamish Pavilion

GT

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
GTGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets
78% to win
ModelSAM 22%GT 78%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetGT -8.7
Totaln/a130.6
Moneylinen/aSAM +358
GT -358 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
GT 80, SAM 71
8 in 10 games
SAM by 7 to GT by 25
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Georgia Tech can win

  1. Home court: Georgia Tech play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Georgia Tech 163rd (+0.4), Samford 289th (-12.1) of 363.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to Georgia Tech in our ratings.
  4. Strength of schedule: Georgia Tech 43rd (+2.3), Samford 227th (-0.5) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Georgia Tech can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (266th of 363) meets the Samford defensive rebounding (325th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Georgia Tech play fast (56th of 363 in pace), Samford slow (337th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Talayah Walker (Georgia Tech: 18.1 pts, 6.1 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 12.6) has the edge on Briana Rivera (Samford: 11.8 pts, 1.8 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.5).
  7. Simulation: Georgia Tech win 3,910 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Georgia Tech may not

  1. Three-point shooting: Samford 90th (32.6%), Georgia Tech 312th (27.3%) of 363.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Georgia Tech lose by 7 or more.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Samford about 0.7 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Weak spot: Georgia Tech rank 319th of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.0).
  5. Team matchup: Samford have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Georgia Tech on paper, but Briana Rivera (11.8 pts, 1.8 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.5) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Samford win 1,090 of 5,000 simulations (22%). A 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

SAM Samford

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

GT Georgia Tech

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

SAMGT
0-0Record1-0
-12.1 289Net rating+0.4 163
87.7 233Offensive rating89.1 213
99.8 310Defensive rating88.6 114
-0.5 227Strength of schedule+2.3 43
46.2% 145Effective FG%44.7% 195
46.1% 215Opponent eFG%42.6% 43
23.3 202Turnovers per 10022.8 171
22.6% 353Offensive rebound %28.6% 266
32.6% 903-point %27.3% 312
66.5 337Pace74.3 56

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • Samford 57 @ Georgia Tech 62Nov 11, 2016
  • Samford 55 @ Georgia Tech 66Dec 13, 2015

What if?

Samford22%
78%Georgia Tech

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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