Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | NCSU -17.6 |
| Total | n/a | 131.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CAM +1406 NCSU -1406 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- NCSU 84, CAM 66
- 8 in 10 games
- NCSU by 2 to NCSU by 34
Advantages Why NC State can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.8 points to NC State in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated NC State about 3.5 points stronger over recent games.
- Home court: NC State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): NC State 11th (17.4), Campbell 307th (25.9) of 363.
- Team matchup: where NC State can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (187th of 363) meets the Campbell defensive rebounding (282nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: NC State play fast (62nd of 363 in pace), Campbell slow (343rd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Khamil Pierre (NC State: 16.7 pts, 11.9 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 13.5) has the edge on Jasmine Felton (Campbell: 10.0 pts, 6.3 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.4).
- Simulation: NC State win 4,670 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why NC State may not
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Campbell 134th (23.4), NC State 349th (17.6) of 363.
- Weak spot: NC State rank 349th of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (17.6).
- Weak spot: NC State rank 261st of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: a strength NC State may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (59th of 363) meets the Campbell shooting defense (16th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean NC State on paper, but Jasmine Felton (10.0 pts, 6.3 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Campbell win 330 of 5,000 simulations (7%). A 93% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
CAM Campbell
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
NCSU NC State
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| CAM | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| +0.8 161 | Net rating | +13.8 51 |
| 87.5 239 | Offensive rating | 103.7 34 |
| 86.7 70 | Defensive rating | 89.8 147 |
| -0.5 230 | Strength of schedule | +2.8 20 |
| 44.1% 222 | Effective FG% | 49.7% 59 |
| 41.4% 16 | Opponent eFG% | 44.3% 101 |
| 25.9 307 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.4 11 |
| 35.6% 65 | Offensive rebound % | 31.1% 187 |
| 29.7% 216 | 3-point % | 31.3% 142 |
| 66.1 343 | Pace | 74.1 62 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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