Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | BRY -9 |
| Total | n/a | 126 |
| Moneyline | n/a | MRST +375 BRY -375 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- BRY 80, MRST 70
- 8 in 10 games
- MRST by 7 to BRY by 25
Advantages Why Bryant can win
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Bryant 96th (+8.0), Marist 279th (-11.5) of 363.
- Home court: Bryant play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.3 points to Bryant in our ratings.
- Point differential per game: Bryant 98th (+5.4), Marist 279th (-8.0) of 363.
- Team matchup: where Bryant can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (196th of 363) meets the Marist defensive rebounding (272nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (142nd of 363) meets the Marist shooting defense (213th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Nia Scott (Bryant: 11.9 pts, 8.6 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 11.1) has the edge on Justine Henry (Marist: 12.4 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 7.8).
- Simulation: Bryant win 3,945 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Bryant may not
- Strength of schedule: Marist 178th (-0.1), Bryant 310th (-1.2) of 363.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Bryant lose by 7 or more.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Marist about 0.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Weak spot: Bryant rank 313th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.17).
- Team matchup: Marist have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Bryant on paper, but Justine Henry (12.4 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 7.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Marist win 1,055 of 5,000 simulations (21%). A 79% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
MRST Marist
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
BRY Bryant
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| MRST | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| -11.5 279 | Net rating | +8.0 96 |
| 83.7 285 | Offensive rating | 91.4 177 |
| 95.2 258 | Defensive rating | 83.4 23 |
| -0.1 178 | Strength of schedule | -1.2 310 |
| 42.7% 277 | Effective FG% | 46.3% 142 |
| 46.0% 213 | Opponent eFG% | 41.1% 12 |
| 23.5 212 | Turnovers per 100 | 22.3 150 |
| 24.7% 332 | Offensive rebound % | 30.8% 196 |
| 32.2% 106 | 3-point % | 33.0% 79 |
| 69.4 264 | Pace | 67.6 318 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
- Bryant 66 @ Marist 56Nov 11, 2025
- Marist 63 @ Bryant 52Dec 7, 2024
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