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MRST

Marist @ Bryant

NCAAW Β· Β· America East-Metro Challenge Β· Chace Athletic Center

BRY

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
BRYBryant Bulldogs
79% to win
ModelMRST 21%BRY 79%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 79% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBRY -9
Totaln/a126
Moneylinen/aMRST +375
BRY -375 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
BRY 80, MRST 70
8 in 10 games
MRST by 7 to BRY by 25
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Bryant can win

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Bryant 96th (+8.0), Marist 279th (-11.5) of 363.
  2. Home court: Bryant play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.3 points to Bryant in our ratings.
  4. Point differential per game: Bryant 98th (+5.4), Marist 279th (-8.0) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Bryant can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (196th of 363) meets the Marist defensive rebounding (272nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (142nd of 363) meets the Marist shooting defense (213th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Nia Scott (Bryant: 11.9 pts, 8.6 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 11.1) has the edge on Justine Henry (Marist: 12.4 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 7.8).
  7. Simulation: Bryant win 3,945 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Bryant may not

  1. Strength of schedule: Marist 178th (-0.1), Bryant 310th (-1.2) of 363.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Bryant lose by 7 or more.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Marist about 0.7 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Weak spot: Bryant rank 313th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.17).
  5. Team matchup: Marist have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Bryant on paper, but Justine Henry (12.4 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 7.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Marist win 1,055 of 5,000 simulations (21%). A 79% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Who's out

MRST Marist

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

BRY Bryant

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

MRSTBRY
0-1Record0-0
-11.5 279Net rating+8.0 96
83.7 285Offensive rating91.4 177
95.2 258Defensive rating83.4 23
-0.1 178Strength of schedule-1.2 310
42.7% 277Effective FG%46.3% 142
46.0% 213Opponent eFG%41.1% 12
23.5 212Turnovers per 10022.3 150
24.7% 332Offensive rebound %30.8% 196
32.2% 1063-point %33.0% 79
69.4 264Pace67.6 318

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • Bryant 66 @ Marist 56Nov 11, 2025
  • Marist 63 @ Bryant 52Dec 7, 2024

What if?

Marist21%
79%Bryant

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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